Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 2:42 AM   Moonset 1:49 PM

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FXUS61 KBGM 030513 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 113 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather will continue through Friday along with above normal temperatures. A brief cool down with rain showers is expected for the weekend, especially Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1000 PM Update...
At 7 PM, conditions, upwind satellite, and model trends supported a longer period of clear sky this evening followed by a more gradual increase in high thin clouds. Sky forecast was adjusted accordingly, with low temperatures down another 1-2 degrees given a bit more radiational cooling under weak high pressure overnight. Sheltered valleys of the Susquehanna headwater valleys could reach down to around 40 degrees.
Forecast still on track as of 10 PM so no additional adjustments needed.

Previous discussion...
Dry weather and mostly clear skies is expected tonight along with lows in the 40s.

High pressure moves east of the area on Friday, resulting in a southeasterly return flow. This will bring slightly warmer conditions to the area. Increasing moisture may bring some cloud cover, but skies should still at least be partly sunny.
Highs are expected to be in the 70s for most of the area.

A slow moving cold front will approach the area Friday night, which will allow for increasing clouds. By late Friday night/early Saturday morning, a few rain showers may reach areas west of I-81, but the majority of the rain showers should hold off until the daytime on Saturday. Lows are expected to be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
1245 PM Update...

A slow-moving cold front sweeping across the area Saturday will bring rounds of rain showers Saturday and into Sunday night.
Temperatures will decrease from the mid- to high-70s Friday to the high-50s to mid-60s Saturday and Sunday as that slow-moving cold front moves through Central NY and NE PA. Currently, total precipitation ranges from up to an inch in northern portions of Central NY to up to a half of an inch elsewhere Saturday morning through Sunday evening. Additionally, there are chances for non-severe afternoon thunderstorms on Sunday, mainly for the Twin Tiers and NE PA. These are subject to change as model guidance attempts to predict the speed of progression the front moves. The slower the front progresses, the higher the total precipitation will likely be. We'll keep monitoring the progression of this front as we head into the weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
1245 PM Update...

Lingering showers can be expected Monday as the aforementioned slow-moving cold front exits our area. A weak warm front is expected to move into the area heading into the mid-week, with temperatures increasing back to the mid- to high-70s by Wednesday. Overall a generally quiet weather pattern with some nuisance rain showers, and chances for afternoon thunderstorms.

AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

VFR conditions are expected through the period. High pressure exits the region late today and a frontal system will be pushing rain showers into the region overnight. However, at this time, these showers will either move in just before the end of the period (06Z Sat) or a little later Saturday morning, so left them out of the forecast for now and will reassess for the 12Z forecast.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday night...A couple passing frontal boundaries will result in scattered showers and restrictions, especially Saturday night onward. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible.

Monday through Tuesday...Mostly dry Monday to midday Tuesday, but increasing chance of rain and restrictions Tuesday afternoon through night. Embedded thunder also possible late Tuesday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Binghamton, NY,