Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 2:38 AM   Moonset 1:46 PM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 548 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tonight - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Sat - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Sat night - SE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. Sun - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Sun night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Showers likely. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 548 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure builds in from the north today and begins to weaken over the region on Saturday. A cold front then slowly approaches from the west Saturday night and Sunday. The cold front tracks through early Monday, stalling south of the region Tuesday.

FXUS61 KBGM 031042 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 642 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry and warm conditions expected again today, but clouds will increase this afternoon. A slow moving frontal system will enter the area early Saturday morning and bring rain showers and cooler conditions for this weekend. High pressure, with dry and warm conditions return again on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
350 AM Update...

Dry and warm conditions will continue again today with ridging still overhead. However, ridging will push eastward and upper level clouds will start pushing in this afternoon ahead of an approaching frontal system. This system will kick off some showers that will start to enter our western zones by early Saturday morning, but the majority of the rain showers should hold off until the daytime on Saturday. Showers will become more widespread across the area Saturday afternoon as shortwave pushes northeast out of the Ohio and into NE PA and Central NY.
Forecast soundings show very little if any instability Saturday afternoon, so removed any mention of thunder with this morning's forecast package.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
315 AM Update...

A slow-moving warm front sweeping east across the area Saturday night into Sunday will keep showers going. late Sunday into Sunday evening a cold front will bring more showers and a few thunderstorms. Both fronts aren't strong. despite a decent southwest low level flow of warm moist air pwats peak around 1.2". The upper level flow is zonal so these systems keep moving. Storm total rainfall for Friday night to Sunday night will be mostly under and inch. May have to watch to see how much thunderstorms will drop late Sunday but can easily take a quick inch. The vegetation green up is taking up more ground moisture and letting less rain run off.

Saturday night lows will be from the mid 40s to around 50.
Sunday will be cloudy with high from the mid 50s to low 60s.
Sunday night lows mostly in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Monday and Monday night a secondary cold front could bring some scattered rain showers. Monday highs from the upper 60s to mid 70s with more sunshine. Monday night lows from the mid 40s in Oneida County to the mid 50s in the Wyoming Valley.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
315 AM Update...

Timing differences on the next system with the GFS the fastest.
Leaned slower toward the ECMWF and CanNH. A warm front moves through with showers Tuesday night to Wednesday evening. An occluded front goes through Thursday with more rain.
Thunderstorms are possible in the afternoons and early evenings. The upper level flow is mostly zonal but a trough approaches the upper Midwest and western Great Lakes late in this period.

High will mostly in the 70s with lows in the 50s.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR conditions are expected through today, however confidence decreases late tonight and early Saturday morning. High pressure exits the region late today and a frontal system will be pushing rain showers into the region after midnight.
However, at this time, model guidance is showing showers holding off until early Saturday morning, so left them out of the forecast for now. Clouds will increase late tonight, but not expecting any restrictions. Best chances for MVFR restrictions will be at ELM very late in the forecast period, but confidence is low at this time.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday night...A couple passing frontal boundaries will result in scattered showers and restrictions, especially Saturday night onward. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible.

Monday through Tuesday...Mostly dry Monday to midday Tuesday, but increasing chance of rain and restrictions Tuesday afternoon through night. Embedded thunder also possible late Tuesday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Newburgh
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Fri -- 02:43 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:14 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
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West Point
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Fri -- 02:20 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:44 AM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:51 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
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West Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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