Sunrise 5:50 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 3:33 AM   Moonset 2:43 PM

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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Today - E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 11 seconds. Areas of fog until late afternoon, then patchy fog late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Sun - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of showers. Sun night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Showers likely. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. Mon night - S winds around 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight. Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.

ANZ400 402 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 030717 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 317 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds into New England with onshore flow setting up.
A series of cold fronts approaches for the weekend, with the second (and stronger of the two) front stalling out nearby by early next week. The stalled front lifts north as a warm front at some point in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe, bringing a return to above normal temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
A cold front continues to work its way south through the region, and generally is south of southeast Pennsylvania and most of New Jersey.
The front continues to work its way south this morning, and should be south of Delmarva by midday. Right now, the two airmasses are noted by a difference in dew points. Dew points are generally in the 40s inland north of the front and in the upper 50s to low 60s south of the front. Even though the front is south of coastal New Jersey, onshore flow is keeping dew points up in the low to mid 50s along the coast and in the coastal plain.

Fog and stratus over the ocean should spread back into the coastal areas this morning, and fog and stratus should dissipate by midday or so.

High pressure builds into New England. Onshore flow will result in a much cooler airmass spreading into the region. Highs will still be a few degrees above normal, but much colder compared to Thursday, topping off in the mid to upper 60s for most of the region, and in the upper 60s to low 70s for far western portions of the forecast area. For coastal areas, onshore flow will keep temperatures in the 50s.

Low pressure approaches from the west tonight. Most of the region will remain dry as high pressure hangs tough along the coast, but some showers may move into far western portions of the forecast area prior to daybreak Saturday.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Not the best weekend ahead weather-wise but not necessarily terrible either. A weakening cold front will approach on Saturday, with some showers moving through ahead of it. Best chance to see showers will be west of the I-95 corridor, but can't rule out some light rain across the area. Otherwise, it will be cloudy and cool with a steady onshore flow. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s/low 60s. With the maritime airmass in place, not expecting much in terms of thunderstorms as it should remain rather stable.

Showers become more widespread by Saturday Night through Sunday Night as a stronger cold front approaches from the west. Highest PoPs are concentrated in the Sunday morning timeframe. Some elevated instability could move in for Sunday afternoon/evening but not expecting any severe weather, and just some rumbles of thunder mixed in with passing showers. The maritime airmass will continue to have a grip on the region, though flow turns a bit more southerly in southern Delmarva. The result will be another day in the upper 50s/low 60s for most, with upper 60s/70s in southern Delaware and along the southern Eastern Shore.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Unsettled conditions are expected for most of next week as a boundary stalls out over the region. Rain chances are in the forecast each day during the week as several waves of low pressure are expected to ride along the boundary. Each day won't be a washout by any means, and PoPs are generally around 20-40% Monday/Tuesday, with the highest coming in the afternoon. Not much instability will be present, with the threat of any thunderstorms/severe weather being low. Temperatures both days will be in the mid to upper 70s, with some 80s possible on Tuesday.

The boundary looks to lift north by Tuesday in the form of a warm front, putting the region in the warm sector. Looking at a period of above normal temperatures for Wednesday/Thursday with upper 70s/low to mid 80s anticipated. A few shortwaves will move through, which will spark off some showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon/evening both days. More instability will be present, so we will have to watch this window, though too early to tell if/how impactful any convection will be.

AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...CIGs will lower to IFR at KACY early this morning, and to MVFR at KMIV/KTTN/KPNE/KPHL/KTTN. IFR VSBYs also possible at KACY in BR. Conditions lift to VFR for all but KACY late this morning, where MVFR CIGs should persist for most of the day due to onshore flow. E winds 8 to 12 kt, but 10 to 15 kt with 18 to 23 kt gusts at KACY.
Moderate confidence.

Tonight...VFR for most of the night for most of the terminals, lowering to MVFR at KACY/KMIV/KTTN late. E winds 5 to 10 kt. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday...Mainly VFR. Some MVFR restrictions possible later in the day especially at KRDG/KABE.

Outlook...

Saturday Night...Restrictions expected with steady rain moving through, with CIGs as low as IFR possible.

Sunday...Restrictions expected with showers/low clouds moving through. CIGs as low as IFR possible.

Sunday Night...Restrictions possible with 40-60% chance of showers and 15-25% chance of thunderstorms.

Monday through Tuesday...Primarily VFR though some restrictions possible with any showers. 20-40% chance of showers through this period.

MARINE
A tightening easterly pressure gradient will develop on the waters today, and E winds will increase to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt for most NJ and DE ocean waters. Seas will build to around 5 ft.
Will go ahead and hoist a Small Craft Advisory for all ANZ451-455 from 8am to 4pm. Sub-SCA conditions for DE Bay today and tonight.
Sub-SCA conditions for the ocean tonight.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday...No marine headlines anticipated.
Showers/thunderstorms possible on the waters Sunday through Sunday night.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ451>455.

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Gooseneck Point
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Fri -- 12:47 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:15 AM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:20 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet

The Narrows
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Fri -- 12:37 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     1.61 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:17 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:38 AM EDT     -2.02 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:11 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:42 PM EDT     1.65 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:05 PM EDT     -2.05 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current, knots

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