Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ensign, KS

DISCUSSION
Issued at 201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

WV imagery indicates a relatively weak northwest flow aloft prevailing across the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a trough axis is edging eastward through southwest Kansas.

Tranquil/drier conditions are likely to continue through the end of the week as the SREF points to a northwest flow aloft persisting through much of the time frame, along with periodic frontal/trough passages helping to further reinforce a fairly dry air mass within predominant downsloping.
Though still below freezing, temperatures will not be quite as cold tonight as aforementioned downsloping sets up by this evening behind an advancing surface trough. With the latest HRRR indicating a general 60-80% probability of temperatures dropping below 30F, though less than a 10% probability of slipping under 25F, expect lows primarily down into the mid/upper 20S(F)
by sunrise Tuesday. A warming trend continues from today into Tuesday under the influence of persistent downsloping, supporting H85 temperatures well above 10C. Expect afternoon highs generally in the 60s(F) with the HRRR painting a 70-90% probability of temperatures exceeding 60F across much of southwest Kansas to highs potentially struggling to climb out of the 50s(F) in south central Kansas where there is only a 40-60% probability of temperatures topping 55F. Temperatures are forecast to remain generally above the seasonal average through the end of the week, except for Thursday when a surge of colder air is projected behind a frontal passage late Wednesday night, bringing temperatures down much closer to seasonal levels.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 529 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

In general the weather pattern across western Kansas should be quiet and lead to VFR flight category for all terminals during the time period. A weak fropa should occur during the morning hours switching the winds to a west-northwest direction however wind speeds in general should be 12 kts or less.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.