Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Springfield, MO
May 3, 2024 4:33 AM CDT (09:33 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:13 AM Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 2:46 AM Moonset 2:07 PM |
Area Discussion for - Springfield, MO
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FXUS63 KSGF 030902 AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 402 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Chance (20-40%) of showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon with the highest chances occurring over southeast MO. Rain is expected to dissipate after 7 PM tonight.
- Stronger storms expected tomorrow ahead and along a cold front. A Marginal Risk of severe weather has been issued over the area and storms will be capable of quarter-sized hail and up to 60 mph winds with heavy rain.
- Unsettled weather will persist through much of the 7 day forecast.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 249 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Patchy fog has set in around the area this morning thanks to the rain we saw earlier on Thursday. Though, cold front moving through north-central Missouri should help to clear out the fog and improve visibilities as it continues to push south.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to upper 70s even after the cold front moves through. This is due to the mid-level southwesterly flow that will help us stay warm today. Winds turn to the north just for a few hours this morning before returning back to the southeast by late this afternoon as surface high pressure moves over us. Another weak shortwave moves through southern Missouri this afternoon and rain chances return. Right now, only have a 20-40% chance of thunderstorms with the best chances occurring over southeast Missouri. Storms are expected to be sub-severe today. Rain is expected to dissipate after 7 PM.
As for Saturday, another cold front will push through the area bringing another chance (70-90%) for thunderstorms starting in the morning and continuing into the afternoon and evening hours. Tomorrow, we are in a Marginal Risk for severe weather, and therefore, will be a better set up than today. Storms may become severe and could produce large hail and damaging wind gusts. Right now, have rain lingering through Saturday night into Sunday morning even after the front has passed through.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 249 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
An active pattern sets up for the long term period. There are chances for rain everyday through Thursday. The entire area is in a general thunderstorm outlook for Sunday.
Sunday: Another shortwave embedded within the southwesterly flow aloft will bring shower and thunderstorms to the area. The better instability looks to be south of the area and we are not expecting any severe storms with this activity at this time.
By Monday and Tuesday, a negatively tilted trough begins to move into the PNW. This will likely bring us another round of severe weather. Too early to discuss hazards and timing, but SPC has consistently put our western counties in KS in an area of 15% chance for severe weather for Monday. CIPS and CSU guidance also line up with that outlook. Tuesday will be another day to keep an eye on as CIPS/CSU guidance is already showing signs of possible severe weather occuring over southern MO.
Monday - Tuesday: A deeper trough with a strong upper jet will begin to shift into the the plains on Monday and begin to lift negatively tilted on Monday night into Tuesday. This system will have better dynamics and instability for the potential of severe storms.
Lastly, CSU/CIPS guidance is showing the potential for severe weather all the way through Thursday of next week. Next week could be another busy week, stay tuned for further forecast updates.
As for the flooding concerns, the daily chances of showers and thunderstorms combined with the already elevated river levels could lead to rapid rises along waterways. We will need to monitor for additional flooding in the coming days.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Visibilities have improved over SGF as the surface cold front continues to push southward over central Missouri. Fog could dissipate earlier than anticipated based on the speed of the front. For now, will keep reduced visibilities and low ceilings in the TAF for the next couple of hours. By the afternoon, mostly cloudy skies are expected but VFR ceilings should return.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None.
MO...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 402 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Chance (20-40%) of showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon with the highest chances occurring over southeast MO. Rain is expected to dissipate after 7 PM tonight.
- Stronger storms expected tomorrow ahead and along a cold front. A Marginal Risk of severe weather has been issued over the area and storms will be capable of quarter-sized hail and up to 60 mph winds with heavy rain.
- Unsettled weather will persist through much of the 7 day forecast.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 249 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Patchy fog has set in around the area this morning thanks to the rain we saw earlier on Thursday. Though, cold front moving through north-central Missouri should help to clear out the fog and improve visibilities as it continues to push south.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to upper 70s even after the cold front moves through. This is due to the mid-level southwesterly flow that will help us stay warm today. Winds turn to the north just for a few hours this morning before returning back to the southeast by late this afternoon as surface high pressure moves over us. Another weak shortwave moves through southern Missouri this afternoon and rain chances return. Right now, only have a 20-40% chance of thunderstorms with the best chances occurring over southeast Missouri. Storms are expected to be sub-severe today. Rain is expected to dissipate after 7 PM.
As for Saturday, another cold front will push through the area bringing another chance (70-90%) for thunderstorms starting in the morning and continuing into the afternoon and evening hours. Tomorrow, we are in a Marginal Risk for severe weather, and therefore, will be a better set up than today. Storms may become severe and could produce large hail and damaging wind gusts. Right now, have rain lingering through Saturday night into Sunday morning even after the front has passed through.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 249 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
An active pattern sets up for the long term period. There are chances for rain everyday through Thursday. The entire area is in a general thunderstorm outlook for Sunday.
Sunday: Another shortwave embedded within the southwesterly flow aloft will bring shower and thunderstorms to the area. The better instability looks to be south of the area and we are not expecting any severe storms with this activity at this time.
By Monday and Tuesday, a negatively tilted trough begins to move into the PNW. This will likely bring us another round of severe weather. Too early to discuss hazards and timing, but SPC has consistently put our western counties in KS in an area of 15% chance for severe weather for Monday. CIPS and CSU guidance also line up with that outlook. Tuesday will be another day to keep an eye on as CIPS/CSU guidance is already showing signs of possible severe weather occuring over southern MO.
Monday - Tuesday: A deeper trough with a strong upper jet will begin to shift into the the plains on Monday and begin to lift negatively tilted on Monday night into Tuesday. This system will have better dynamics and instability for the potential of severe storms.
Lastly, CSU/CIPS guidance is showing the potential for severe weather all the way through Thursday of next week. Next week could be another busy week, stay tuned for further forecast updates.
As for the flooding concerns, the daily chances of showers and thunderstorms combined with the already elevated river levels could lead to rapid rises along waterways. We will need to monitor for additional flooding in the coming days.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Visibilities have improved over SGF as the surface cold front continues to push southward over central Missouri. Fog could dissipate earlier than anticipated based on the speed of the front. For now, will keep reduced visibilities and low ceilings in the TAF for the next couple of hours. By the afternoon, mostly cloudy skies are expected but VFR ceilings should return.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None.
MO...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSGF SPRINGFIELDBRANSON NATIONAL,MO | 6 sm | 14 min | N 06 | 10 sm | Overcast | 63°F | 63°F | 100% | 29.91 |
Springfield, MO,
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