Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vansant, VA

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 635 PM Monday...

Modified temperatures slightly downward to remain in line with current trends. Given decent radiational cooling and a decent snowpack still on the ground across the northern half of the forecast area, many spots could drop down into the low teens to single digits overnight into Tuesday morning. All other weather parameters remain on track this evening.

As of 1130 AM Monday...

High pressure continues to remain in control across the area during the near term period, with dry conditions. Temperatures will gradually moderate during the period, as heights build and a more zonal flow aloft takes hold. Tonight will be cold once again, with lingering snow pack and a mostly clear sky. Most locations will dip into the teens, with single digits possible in some locations, once again.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 1130 AM Monday...

Not as cold Tuesday night as winds and cloud cover increase with the approach of a couple of passing shortwaves for Wednesday. Moisture is limited with these, so don't expect much in the way of precipitation, but could see some areas of lower clouds take hold, maybe even some areas of drizzle. Southerly flow increases on Thursday out ahead of the next system, which will move into the area later in the day and into Friday. Strengthening low level winds will help to pump high moisture content air into the region.
Precipitation should primarily fall as rain Thursday/Thursday evening, before transitioning to a rain/snow mix Thursday night into Friday with passage of the front.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 1130 AM Monday...

Temperatures on Friday will likely see little diurnal rise associated with the front. Upslope showers will continue on Friday behind the departing system, with moisture fetch off the lakes and favorable upslope flow. High pressure then builds into the area over the weekend, with milder conditions taking hold, although there are hints of another system over the weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 635 PM Monday...

VFR prevails through the TAF period amid high pressure.
Occasional mid to high level clouds and light winds rule the roost tonight into Tuesday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE TUE UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 EST 1HRLY 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR possible in rain on Thursday and rain and snow Thursday night into Friday.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.