Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bolivar Peninsula, TX
May 3, 2024 2:20 AM CDT (07:20 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:33 AM Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 2:42 AM Moonset 2:19 PM |
GMZ335 Expires:202405032015;;531434 Fzus54 Khgx 030705 Cwfhgx
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service houston/galveston tx 205 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
upper texas coastal waters from high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nautical miles including galveston and matagorda bays.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz330-335-032015- matagorda bay-galveston bay- 205 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Today - Southeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly this morning.
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Sunday - Southeast winds around 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy, becoming choppy in the afternoon.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service houston/galveston tx 205 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
upper texas coastal waters from high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nautical miles including galveston and matagorda bays.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz330-335-032015- matagorda bay-galveston bay- 205 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 205 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
moderate to occasionally strong onshore winds and seas generally between 3 and 6 feet are expected through early next week. Seas around 7 ft will be possible at times well offshore. Winds and seas may be high enough during this period to require small craft exercise caution. Showers and storms are also possible today and tonight. Winds and waves would be higher in and near Thunderstorms.
moderate to occasionally strong onshore winds and seas generally between 3 and 6 feet are expected through early next week. Seas around 7 ft will be possible at times well offshore. Winds and seas may be high enough during this period to require small craft exercise caution. Showers and storms are also possible today and tonight. Winds and waves would be higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 030506 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1206 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Complex forecast continues tonight into Friday morning...while the main MCS has moved east out of the area, a surface boundary lingers in its wake. This is observed with the current line of showers training east through the Houston Metro. For tonight into Friday forecast PWAT values still remain elevated, but the depth of moisture availability is more shallow than what has been available over the last 24 hours. Activity for tonight into Friday is expected to be more scattered in coverage, as opposed to the organized structure that moved through SE Texas today. While that does provide a note of positivity, this is also where the uncertainty lies. Tonight's activity is projected to occur after midnight into Friday morning, and will be heavily dependent on where smaller scale boundaries, pockets of stronger moisture convergence, and higher PWAT values set up, so it is difficult to say which locations will see the isolated higher amounts. At this point current thoughts are that the most likely area for higher totals will be concentrated south of the I-10 corridor. Rainfall totals are expected to generally remain in the 0.5"-2.0" range with isolated amounts of 3.0-4.0" possible.
With the additional expected rainfall, uncertainty of where higher amounts will fall, and the saturated soils from today's rainfall, the decision has been made to keep the Flood Watch in effect through Friday afternoon. Austin and Colorado Counties have been removed from the Flood Watch.
Areal flood warnings are in effect and rivers are forecast to continue to rise (read more about that in the hydrology section below). Please continue to avoid driving through flooded roads, do not drive around barricades, and pay attention to instructions from local officials with regards to any evacuations.
Rainfall chances will continue to decrease through the day Friday.
Friday night will feature mostly cloudy skies with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Adams
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
On Saturday afternoon, there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms mainly for far N/NW areas, elsewhere it should remain dry as a shortwave tough moves mainly north of the area.
Another more significant mid/upper tough will move across northern portions of the area on Sunday and will bring a better chance for showers and thunderstorms to SE Texas - mainly along and north of I-10.
Early next week, the focus shifts to drier and warmer weather, with above normal temperatures expected all week. By Tuesday, max temps will reach 90 inland and heat indices will peak in the 95 to 100 degree range. Expect the heat to build during the week with max temps reaching the mid 90s and heat indices peaking in the low 100s by midweek.
Wood
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
While MVFR ceilings are starting to settle in across SE TX tonight, shower/storms across Central TX are continuing to make their way to the east. Inital model runs are indicating that this activity could reach the W/NW portions of the CWA as we approach sunrise. Did keep with the mention of VCSH during the very early morning...then tran- sitioning to VCTS for the afternoon. S to SE winds will remain some what elevated at 4-9kts tonight...11-19 kts by tomorrow afternoon.
41
MARINE
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Seeing an outflow boundary affect the upper coast early this afternoon, but these NW winds are temporary, and moderate onshore winds will return and prevail through the forecast period. In general, the onshore winds will remain around 15 kts to occasionally 20 kts.
Will continue the caution statement for the evening hours tonight with seas 5 to 7 feet over the offshore waters and 3 to 6 feet over the nearshore waters.
There is a chance for showers and storms, some could become strong, through Friday morning. During the weekend, most of the rainfall is expected to remain inland. Tranquil weather conditions expected next week as mid to upper level ridging builds over the region.
Wood
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
There is ongoing river flooding over parts of Southeast Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity and San Jacinto rivers.
The following river points are at, or forecast to go to Major flood stage:
- Trinity River (Liberty): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Goodrich): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate forecast to go to Major - Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Minor forecast to go to Major - Trinity River (Romayer): forecast to go to Major - Menard Creek (Rye): Moderate forecast to Major - Navasota River (Normangee): Minor forecast to go to Major - West Fork San Jacinto (Conroe): forecast to go to Major - West Fork San Jacinto (Humble): Moderate forecast to go to Major - East Fork San Jacinto (Cleveland): forecast to go to Major - East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Moderate forecast to go to Major - San Jacinto (Sheldon): forecast to go to Major - Peach Creek (Splendora): Minor forecast to go to Major - Caney Creek (Splendora): forecast to go to Major
Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through flooded areas or roadways. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as the river flood threat continues.
Wood
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 70 84 71 85 / 30 40 20 20 Houston (IAH) 72 84 72 85 / 50 50 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 73 79 73 80 / 50 40 10 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ163-164-176>179- 195>200-212-213-300-313.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1206 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Complex forecast continues tonight into Friday morning...while the main MCS has moved east out of the area, a surface boundary lingers in its wake. This is observed with the current line of showers training east through the Houston Metro. For tonight into Friday forecast PWAT values still remain elevated, but the depth of moisture availability is more shallow than what has been available over the last 24 hours. Activity for tonight into Friday is expected to be more scattered in coverage, as opposed to the organized structure that moved through SE Texas today. While that does provide a note of positivity, this is also where the uncertainty lies. Tonight's activity is projected to occur after midnight into Friday morning, and will be heavily dependent on where smaller scale boundaries, pockets of stronger moisture convergence, and higher PWAT values set up, so it is difficult to say which locations will see the isolated higher amounts. At this point current thoughts are that the most likely area for higher totals will be concentrated south of the I-10 corridor. Rainfall totals are expected to generally remain in the 0.5"-2.0" range with isolated amounts of 3.0-4.0" possible.
With the additional expected rainfall, uncertainty of where higher amounts will fall, and the saturated soils from today's rainfall, the decision has been made to keep the Flood Watch in effect through Friday afternoon. Austin and Colorado Counties have been removed from the Flood Watch.
Areal flood warnings are in effect and rivers are forecast to continue to rise (read more about that in the hydrology section below). Please continue to avoid driving through flooded roads, do not drive around barricades, and pay attention to instructions from local officials with regards to any evacuations.
Rainfall chances will continue to decrease through the day Friday.
Friday night will feature mostly cloudy skies with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Adams
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
On Saturday afternoon, there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms mainly for far N/NW areas, elsewhere it should remain dry as a shortwave tough moves mainly north of the area.
Another more significant mid/upper tough will move across northern portions of the area on Sunday and will bring a better chance for showers and thunderstorms to SE Texas - mainly along and north of I-10.
Early next week, the focus shifts to drier and warmer weather, with above normal temperatures expected all week. By Tuesday, max temps will reach 90 inland and heat indices will peak in the 95 to 100 degree range. Expect the heat to build during the week with max temps reaching the mid 90s and heat indices peaking in the low 100s by midweek.
Wood
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
While MVFR ceilings are starting to settle in across SE TX tonight, shower/storms across Central TX are continuing to make their way to the east. Inital model runs are indicating that this activity could reach the W/NW portions of the CWA as we approach sunrise. Did keep with the mention of VCSH during the very early morning...then tran- sitioning to VCTS for the afternoon. S to SE winds will remain some what elevated at 4-9kts tonight...11-19 kts by tomorrow afternoon.
41
MARINE
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Seeing an outflow boundary affect the upper coast early this afternoon, but these NW winds are temporary, and moderate onshore winds will return and prevail through the forecast period. In general, the onshore winds will remain around 15 kts to occasionally 20 kts.
Will continue the caution statement for the evening hours tonight with seas 5 to 7 feet over the offshore waters and 3 to 6 feet over the nearshore waters.
There is a chance for showers and storms, some could become strong, through Friday morning. During the weekend, most of the rainfall is expected to remain inland. Tranquil weather conditions expected next week as mid to upper level ridging builds over the region.
Wood
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
There is ongoing river flooding over parts of Southeast Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity and San Jacinto rivers.
The following river points are at, or forecast to go to Major flood stage:
- Trinity River (Liberty): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Goodrich): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate forecast to go to Major - Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Minor forecast to go to Major - Trinity River (Romayer): forecast to go to Major - Menard Creek (Rye): Moderate forecast to Major - Navasota River (Normangee): Minor forecast to go to Major - West Fork San Jacinto (Conroe): forecast to go to Major - West Fork San Jacinto (Humble): Moderate forecast to go to Major - East Fork San Jacinto (Cleveland): forecast to go to Major - East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Moderate forecast to go to Major - San Jacinto (Sheldon): forecast to go to Major - Peach Creek (Splendora): Minor forecast to go to Major - Caney Creek (Splendora): forecast to go to Major
Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through flooded areas or roadways. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as the river flood threat continues.
Wood
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 70 84 71 85 / 30 40 20 20 Houston (IAH) 72 84 72 85 / 50 50 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 73 79 73 80 / 50 40 10 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ163-164-176>179- 195>200-212-213-300-313.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 3 mi | 51 min | SSE 12G | 75°F | 80°F | 29.79 | ||
| HIST2 | 12 mi | 51 min | ESE 4.1G | 75°F | 83°F | 29.80 | ||
| GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX | 13 mi | 51 min | SSE 12G | 77°F | 76°F | 29.77 | ||
| GTOT2 | 17 mi | 51 min | S 4.1G | 76°F | 78°F | 29.76 | ||
| EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 19 mi | 51 min | SSE 9.9G | 79°F | 77°F | 29.79 | ||
| GRRT2 | 22 mi | 51 min | ESE 8.9G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.76 | ||
| KGVW | 25 mi | 26 min | SE 17 | 75°F | 73°F | |||
| MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 26 mi | 51 min | ESE 9.9G | 74°F | 76°F | 29.78 | ||
| SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX | 31 mi | 81 min | 76°F | 29.83 | ||||
| TXPT2 | 40 mi | 51 min | SE 15G | 75°F | 75°F | 29.78 | ||
| LUIT2 | 41 mi | 51 min | E 6G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.78 | ||
| NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 41 mi | 51 min | NW 1.9G | 75°F | 29.76 | |||
| PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX | 42 mi | 51 min | ESE 6G | 76°F | 74°F | 29.79 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KGLS SCHOLES INTL AT GALVESTON,TX | 22 sm | 28 min | SE 11 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 29.79 |
Gilchrist
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:23 AM CDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:42 AM CDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:42 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:33 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM CDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:19 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:16 PM CDT 1.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:23 AM CDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:42 AM CDT 1.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:42 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:33 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM CDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:19 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:16 PM CDT 1.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Gilchrist, East Bay, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 1 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Galveston Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:18 AM CDT -0.09 knots Min Ebb
Fri -- 03:43 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM CDT -2.02 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:34 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:31 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:27 PM CDT 1.72 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:20 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:24 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM CDT -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:33 PM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:18 AM CDT -0.09 knots Min Ebb
Fri -- 03:43 AM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM CDT -2.02 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:34 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:31 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:27 PM CDT 1.72 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:20 PM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:24 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM CDT -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:33 PM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Galveston Bay Entrance, Texas Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.1 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.5 |
| 3 am |
| -0.9 |
| 4 am |
| -1.3 |
| 5 am |
| -1.7 |
| 6 am |
| -2 |
| 7 am |
| -2 |
| 8 am |
| -1.7 |
| 9 am |
| -1.1 |
| 10 am |
| -0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 9 pm |
| -1 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.3 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,
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