Sunrise 6:42 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 2:42 AM   Moonset 2:26 PM

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GMZ657 Expires:202405031700;;533865 Fzus52 Kmfl 030801 Cwfmfl
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service miami fl 401 am edt Fri may 3 2024
atlantic coastal waters from jupiter inlet to ocean reef out to 60 nm and gulf coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee out 20 nm and chokoloskee to bonita beach out 60 nm - .including the waters of biscayne bay and lake okeechobee.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz656-657-676-031700- coastal waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee fl out 20 nm- waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- 401 am edt Fri may 3 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Today - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt nearshore and E 10 to 15 kt offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Sat - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt nearshore and E 10 to 15 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: E se 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Tue - E se winds around 10 kt becoming S se in the afternoon. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers through the day. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.

GMZ600 404 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow will persist through the weekend and then increase slightly during the early part of next week as surface high pressure continues to ridge into the marine area from the east. Slightly higher winds are expected in the afternoon hours near the coast in association with an enhanced sea breeze circulation.

FXUS62 KMFL 031135 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 735 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 246 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

While models depict a rather complex weather pattern dominating the whole E CONUS on Friday, closer to the area a mid level ridge and sfc high pressure will remain in control of the peninsula weather during the weekend. A transient trough and associated storm systems well to the north will flatten a bit the ridge today, with pressure gradients again becoming a little tighter in the afternoon hours. Thus, expect periods of easterly winds becoming gusty, mainly over the Atlantic coast of SoFlo.

Models also keep low dew points in place with the upstream air mass, which will help in keeping POPs/rain chances low. The only lifting mechanism will be again afternoon sea breezes, which will serve as focal points for limited convection to develop. But with the stronger easterly flow, it is likely that most of the shower/storm activity will be pushed towards the interior/western portions of SoFlo.

The weather pattern becomes a little more favorable for afternoon showers on Saturday as an area of enhanced moisture moves into SoFlo from the Atlantic side. But model layer analyses keep most of the moisture in a shallow layer around 850-700 mb, along with highest POPs in the 25-40 percent range, favoring the Gulf coast. Any deeper convection should again follow the enhanced lifting of sea breeze boundaries, although a key difference Saturday afternoon is that overall coverage of showers seems more widespread than previous days.

Despite the better chances of rain on Saturday, temperatures will remain warm on both days with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s for the Atlantic coast and interior areas, and around 90 for the west coast of SoFlo.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 246 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Long range models show mid-level ridging persisting across the region, keeping the ongoing easterly wind regime over SoFlo through much of the work week. Meanwhile, the remaining enhanced low level moisture from the weekend will gradually dry out, with mainly single digit POPs by mid week. Thus, expect better chances for a few showers and an isolated storm or two on Sunday and Monday afternoon.
Again, deeper convection should follow the sea breeze boundaries as the easterly flow push them inland.

Expect temperatures to remain around or slightly higher than normals. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 80s to around 90 across southwest Florida and interior areas, while remaining in the mid 80s along the east coast. Overnight lows will be in the 60s,

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 731 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Generally VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period although MVFR cigs are possible if a shower directly impacts a terminal. Generally easterly winds prevail through the period with gusts to 20kts possible during the day. KAPF will see an afternoon wind shift to the W-SW again.

MARINE
Issued at 246 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Outside of periods of gusty easterly winds, overall benign conditions should prevail across the coastal waters through the weekend. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds.
Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters. Winds could peak in the 12-15 kts range out of the east.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 84 73 84 74 / 20 20 30 10 West Kendall 86 70 86 71 / 20 20 30 10 Opa-Locka 86 72 86 72 / 20 20 30 10 Homestead 84 73 85 73 / 20 20 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 83 73 82 74 / 20 20 30 20 N Ft Lauderdale 83 73 83 74 / 20 20 30 20 Pembroke Pines 87 73 87 73 / 20 20 30 10 West Palm Beach 84 71 84 72 / 20 20 30 10 Boca Raton 84 73 85 73 / 20 20 30 20 Naples 89 70 88 71 / 10 20 30 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Shark River entrance
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Fri -- 03:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:57 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:31 AM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:00 PM EDT     0.95 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:20 PM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shark River entrance, Florida, Tide feet

Cape Sable
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Fri -- 03:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:02 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:07 AM EDT     2.77 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:05 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:56 PM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Sable, East Cape, Florida, Tide feet

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