Sunrise 6:42 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 2:40 AM   Moonset 2:24 PM

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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1156 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
.small craft should exercise caution until winds decrease - .
Overnight - East winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Friday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Friday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Saturday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Sunday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Sunday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Monday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Tuesday - East winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters becoming a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.Tuesday night - East to southeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1156 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will persist over the western north atlantic for the next several days resulting in an extended period of moderate to fresh easterly breezes. Breezes will peak during the nighttime hours, with some lulling during the daytime.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of may 01, 2024 - .
58 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 32 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 18 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 14 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 15 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 11 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 8 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.

FXUS62 KMFL 030522 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 122 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 705 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Definitely a quieter evening over SFL compared to yesterday thanks to encroaching ridging and associated warmer temperatures aloft. Scattered showers have developed near the Gulf breeze in SW FL although this activity has struggled to obtain vertical development and produce lightning. This generally weak activity will likely linger a couple hours into the early evening over that area but otherwise a generally dry and mild tonight is expected.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

High pressure and ridging in the low to mid levels continues to dominate the weather pattern across South Florida, keeping a typical easterly regime in place. Convective activity will be very limited today and Friday as drier air starts to filter in. Anything that does manage to develop along sea breeze collisions will be heavily focused over interior and Southwest Florida areas.

Outside of a rouge shower or thunderstorm, prevailing conditions will be quite nice with partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower to mid 80s. Across interior and southwest portions of the area, afternoon highs will be a bit warmer in the upper 80s.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 524 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Little to no fluctuation in the overall synoptic weather regime the long term period, as stout mid-level ridging will maintain predominately easterly flow across South Florida into next week.
This easterly surface flow will allow for the Atlantic sea-breeze circulation to progressively move inland, and act as the foci for convective initiation primarily over the interior. East coast metro areas may experience a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm during the early afternoon and towards the mid to late afternoon for interior and southwest portions of the area. Overall rain chances remain low through the period (generally below 20) as drier air and the absence of synoptic forcing should limit any widespread convective development. For the few showers and thunderstorms that are able to develop, the most likely areas to experience convection will be across the Everglades and Southwest Florida, owing to the aforementioned easterly flow regime.

Temperatures will be near to just above normal through the extended period. The highs will increase into the upper 80s across southwest Florida and the interior region, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 117 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Generally VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A few showers may be possible near the east coast Friday morning but feel probs are too low to explicitly mention in this issuance.
Generally easterly winds prevail through the period with gusts to 20kts possible during the day. KAPF will see an afternoon wind shift to the W-SW again.

MARINE
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week and into the weekend. There will be chances for showers and a few thunderstorms each day, which could create locally hazardous conditions. Other than the convective threat, there is not expected to be concerns for marine conditions. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters. Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to an elevated risk for rip currents across all Atlantic beaches through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Highest rip current risk today will be maximized across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 84 73 84 74 / 10 10 30 30 West Kendall 85 70 86 70 / 10 10 30 30 Opa-Locka 86 72 86 72 / 10 10 30 30 Homestead 84 73 84 72 / 10 10 30 40 Fort Lauderdale 83 73 83 74 / 10 20 40 40 N Ft Lauderdale 83 73 83 73 / 10 10 30 40 Pembroke Pines 87 73 87 73 / 10 10 30 30 West Palm Beach 84 71 84 71 / 10 10 30 30 Boca Raton 84 72 84 73 / 10 10 40 40 Naples 89 70 88 70 / 10 20 30 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Tavernier Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:24 AM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:47 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:52 PM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:17 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida, Tide feet

Long Key
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:47 AM EDT     0.97 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:04 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:58 AM EDT     -0.98 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:16 PM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:21 PM EDT     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots

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