Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Newport, NY
May 21, 2024 3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:29 AM Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 5:48 PM Moonset 3:12 AM |
LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 640 Am Edt Tue May 21 2024
Today - South winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers through early afternoon, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight - South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday - Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ005
No data
No data
FXUS61 KALY 211658 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
It will remain warm and muggy through Wednesday, with some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. A cold front on Thursday will bring some additional showers and storms, especially for areas south and east of Albany.
Cooler and less humid air is expected behind the front on Friday with dry weather. Some additional showers are possible through the holiday weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 1258 PM EDT...Upper level ridge axis continues to shift southeast of the area and now extends from the mid Atlantic and offshore into the western Atlantic Ocean to the east of eastern New England. Meanwhile, a compact upper level disturbance (probably a leftover MCV) is approaching the area from Ontario.
This feature is running along the northern fringe of the ridging, although the best dynamics looks like they will be tracking north of the region. At the surface, high pressure is now located offshore New England, keeping a moist and mild southerly flow in place over the area.
Visible satellite imagery shows partly to mostly cloudy skies over the region, with a combination of both high cirrus and some developing cu. The clearest skies are across far southern areas, with the most clouds across northern parts of the region.
This afternoon will be fairly warm, with the warm temps aloft and high heights in place. Highs should reach the mid to upper 80s in the valleys, but it does not look like we will reach heat advisory criteria. High terrain areas will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. All areas should be seeing somewhat muggy dewpoints, with values around 60.
MRMS imagery shows some scattered showers and thunderstorms are starting to develop, mainly across the Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley. A rogue shower has even formed over the Capital Region and Catskills. The only thunder in our area so far has been across the eastern Adirondacks. SPC Mesoanalysis still shows 0-6 km bulk shear under 30 kts across our area. MLCAPE is currently around 500-1000 J/kg over much of the area. While the mid level lapse rates are still fairly weak (around 6 C/km or less), there are some steep low level lapse rates thanks to the strong solar heating ongoing today. The best chance for gusty winds today will be across northern areas, where some dry air aloft and the steep low level lapse rates could allow for a downburst within a collapsing storm this afternoon. SPC has placed this region in a marginal risk for severe weather, which makes sense given the aforementioned setup, although the bigger threat is likely north and northeast of our area, where shear will be higher and the better dynamics will be tracking.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/
Tonight, any lingering showers or storms should dissipate within a few hours of sunset with the loss of diurnal heating and decreasing instability. Most of the night will be fairly dry with partly cloudy skies. Any areas that see rain during the day today could see patchy fog develop tonight with winds expected to be light once again. We may also see some low stratus again towards the I-84 corridor, similar to Monday night. Lows will be a few degrees warmer than the previous night, mainly in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Wednesday, potent upper and surface low pressure system will be tracking into the western Great Lakes region well to our west.
Most of the day will be dry with partly to mostly clear skies as our region remains under the influence of upper ridging. THis will help temperatures rise well into the 80s to low 90s for many valley areas, so it should be even a couple degrees warmer than Tuesday. Heat indices could get into the low 90s, but should fall a few degrees short of heat advisory criteria.
Late Wednesday afternoon and evening, a pre-frontal trough will approach from the west, potentially leading to development of more showers and thunderstorms. Similar to Tuesday, CAPE values will be quite impressive and there will be steep low-level lapse rates and mid-level dry air that are suggestive of an environment that could support some gusty winds and hail with any storms, but the lack of shear should keep the severe threat on the low side. SPC has placed our western Mohawk Valley and ADK areas in a marginal risk for severe weather again, Wednesday. Storms could make it as far east as the Hudson Valley Wednesday evening or early Wednesday night, but they will be weakening at this point with the loss of daytime heating. There could be a few lingering showers or a non-severe thunderstorm Wednesday night, but overall most places should dry out especially after midnight. Wednesday night will be quite mild, with lows in the 60s for most areas.
Thursday, they system's cold front will finally track through our region. The exact timing of the front in relation to peak daytime heating will determine how widespread showers and storms become. Currently, it looks like the cold front will pass through our western areas Thursday morning, which will limit the coverage and intensity of any thunderstorms. For areas south and east of Albany, the cold frontal passage will likely occur during the afternoon, so there should be more instability to work with. Shear will also be more impressive than the previous few days with 30 to 40 kt winds at 500 mb. Low-level forcing is not overly strong, but height falls aloft and the approaching right entrance region of the upper jet should provide additional lift. Therefore, areas south and east of Albany could see some stronger storms Thursday if the current forecast holds. SPC accordingly has placed portions of the Mid Hudson Valley and southwestern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather.
Thursday will be cooler for areas north and west of Albany with highs in the 70s to low 80s, but temperatures out ahead of the front will likely climb into the mid to upper 80s along the I-84 corridor.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Showers and thunderstorms will come to an end Thursday evening as the cold front crosses the region and stalls over the mid-Atlantic states. This will result in decreasing clouds Thursday night and mostly sunny and less humid weather on Friday with weak high pressure overhead. Highs on Friday will reach the mid-70s to mid- 80s.
The remainder of the forecast period will consist of a series of upper-level shortwaves crossing the region, which will result in additional chances for showers and possible thunderstorms. Run-to- run consistency of these shortwaves is poor resulting in lower confidence in timing. Latest trends suggest the better shower chances are on Saturday and either Monday or Tuesday of next week (pending the arrival of the next shortwave) with Sunday trending drier (in-between shortwaves). Will cap the extended with chance pops until confidence in timing of each shortwave increases. Highs on most days will be in the 70s with some mid to upper 60s at times across the higher elevations.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18z/Wed...an upper level disturbance will track north of the region through late this afternoon, potentially triggering isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. The best chance for any thunderstorms will be at KGFL, with a few showers possible at KALB/KPSF. Can not rule out thunder at KALB/KPSF, however chances are fairly low compared to KGFL. A brief period of MVFR/IFR Vsbys will be possible within any heavier showers.
Any showers/thunderstorms should diminish between 21Z/Tue-02Z/Wed, with mainly VFR conditions expected through 18Z/Wed. However, any areas which receive showers/thunderstorms this afternoon could have some patchy ground fog develop tonight with possible MVFR/IFR Vsbys.
This potential appears greatest at KGFL, where a period of MVFR Vsbys has been indicated between 05Z-11Z/Wed.
Light south winds should average less than 10 KT this afternoon, becoming mainly light/variable after sunset. Winds will then become south to southwest at 5-10 KT by late Wednesday morning.
Winds will be stronger, and variable in direction in/near any thunderstorms this afternoon.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
It will remain warm and muggy through Wednesday, with some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. A cold front on Thursday will bring some additional showers and storms, especially for areas south and east of Albany.
Cooler and less humid air is expected behind the front on Friday with dry weather. Some additional showers are possible through the holiday weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 1258 PM EDT...Upper level ridge axis continues to shift southeast of the area and now extends from the mid Atlantic and offshore into the western Atlantic Ocean to the east of eastern New England. Meanwhile, a compact upper level disturbance (probably a leftover MCV) is approaching the area from Ontario.
This feature is running along the northern fringe of the ridging, although the best dynamics looks like they will be tracking north of the region. At the surface, high pressure is now located offshore New England, keeping a moist and mild southerly flow in place over the area.
Visible satellite imagery shows partly to mostly cloudy skies over the region, with a combination of both high cirrus and some developing cu. The clearest skies are across far southern areas, with the most clouds across northern parts of the region.
This afternoon will be fairly warm, with the warm temps aloft and high heights in place. Highs should reach the mid to upper 80s in the valleys, but it does not look like we will reach heat advisory criteria. High terrain areas will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. All areas should be seeing somewhat muggy dewpoints, with values around 60.
MRMS imagery shows some scattered showers and thunderstorms are starting to develop, mainly across the Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley. A rogue shower has even formed over the Capital Region and Catskills. The only thunder in our area so far has been across the eastern Adirondacks. SPC Mesoanalysis still shows 0-6 km bulk shear under 30 kts across our area. MLCAPE is currently around 500-1000 J/kg over much of the area. While the mid level lapse rates are still fairly weak (around 6 C/km or less), there are some steep low level lapse rates thanks to the strong solar heating ongoing today. The best chance for gusty winds today will be across northern areas, where some dry air aloft and the steep low level lapse rates could allow for a downburst within a collapsing storm this afternoon. SPC has placed this region in a marginal risk for severe weather, which makes sense given the aforementioned setup, although the bigger threat is likely north and northeast of our area, where shear will be higher and the better dynamics will be tracking.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/
Tonight, any lingering showers or storms should dissipate within a few hours of sunset with the loss of diurnal heating and decreasing instability. Most of the night will be fairly dry with partly cloudy skies. Any areas that see rain during the day today could see patchy fog develop tonight with winds expected to be light once again. We may also see some low stratus again towards the I-84 corridor, similar to Monday night. Lows will be a few degrees warmer than the previous night, mainly in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Wednesday, potent upper and surface low pressure system will be tracking into the western Great Lakes region well to our west.
Most of the day will be dry with partly to mostly clear skies as our region remains under the influence of upper ridging. THis will help temperatures rise well into the 80s to low 90s for many valley areas, so it should be even a couple degrees warmer than Tuesday. Heat indices could get into the low 90s, but should fall a few degrees short of heat advisory criteria.
Late Wednesday afternoon and evening, a pre-frontal trough will approach from the west, potentially leading to development of more showers and thunderstorms. Similar to Tuesday, CAPE values will be quite impressive and there will be steep low-level lapse rates and mid-level dry air that are suggestive of an environment that could support some gusty winds and hail with any storms, but the lack of shear should keep the severe threat on the low side. SPC has placed our western Mohawk Valley and ADK areas in a marginal risk for severe weather again, Wednesday. Storms could make it as far east as the Hudson Valley Wednesday evening or early Wednesday night, but they will be weakening at this point with the loss of daytime heating. There could be a few lingering showers or a non-severe thunderstorm Wednesday night, but overall most places should dry out especially after midnight. Wednesday night will be quite mild, with lows in the 60s for most areas.
Thursday, they system's cold front will finally track through our region. The exact timing of the front in relation to peak daytime heating will determine how widespread showers and storms become. Currently, it looks like the cold front will pass through our western areas Thursday morning, which will limit the coverage and intensity of any thunderstorms. For areas south and east of Albany, the cold frontal passage will likely occur during the afternoon, so there should be more instability to work with. Shear will also be more impressive than the previous few days with 30 to 40 kt winds at 500 mb. Low-level forcing is not overly strong, but height falls aloft and the approaching right entrance region of the upper jet should provide additional lift. Therefore, areas south and east of Albany could see some stronger storms Thursday if the current forecast holds. SPC accordingly has placed portions of the Mid Hudson Valley and southwestern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather.
Thursday will be cooler for areas north and west of Albany with highs in the 70s to low 80s, but temperatures out ahead of the front will likely climb into the mid to upper 80s along the I-84 corridor.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Showers and thunderstorms will come to an end Thursday evening as the cold front crosses the region and stalls over the mid-Atlantic states. This will result in decreasing clouds Thursday night and mostly sunny and less humid weather on Friday with weak high pressure overhead. Highs on Friday will reach the mid-70s to mid- 80s.
The remainder of the forecast period will consist of a series of upper-level shortwaves crossing the region, which will result in additional chances for showers and possible thunderstorms. Run-to- run consistency of these shortwaves is poor resulting in lower confidence in timing. Latest trends suggest the better shower chances are on Saturday and either Monday or Tuesday of next week (pending the arrival of the next shortwave) with Sunday trending drier (in-between shortwaves). Will cap the extended with chance pops until confidence in timing of each shortwave increases. Highs on most days will be in the 70s with some mid to upper 60s at times across the higher elevations.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18z/Wed...an upper level disturbance will track north of the region through late this afternoon, potentially triggering isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. The best chance for any thunderstorms will be at KGFL, with a few showers possible at KALB/KPSF. Can not rule out thunder at KALB/KPSF, however chances are fairly low compared to KGFL. A brief period of MVFR/IFR Vsbys will be possible within any heavier showers.
Any showers/thunderstorms should diminish between 21Z/Tue-02Z/Wed, with mainly VFR conditions expected through 18Z/Wed. However, any areas which receive showers/thunderstorms this afternoon could have some patchy ground fog develop tonight with possible MVFR/IFR Vsbys.
This potential appears greatest at KGFL, where a period of MVFR Vsbys has been indicated between 05Z-11Z/Wed.
Light south winds should average less than 10 KT this afternoon, becoming mainly light/variable after sunset. Winds will then become south to southwest at 5-10 KT by late Wednesday morning.
Winds will be stronger, and variable in direction in/near any thunderstorms this afternoon.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRME GRIFFISS INTL,NY | 22 sm | 37 min | E 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 64°F | 55% | 29.90 |
Troy
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:31 AM EDT 5.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:43 PM EDT 4.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:21 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:31 AM EDT 5.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:43 PM EDT 4.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:21 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 2.6 |
| 2 am |
| 3.8 |
| 3 am |
| 4.7 |
| 4 am |
| 5.2 |
| 5 am |
| 5.3 |
| 6 am |
| 4.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.7 |
| 8 am |
| 2.9 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 3 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:08 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:23 AM EDT 5.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:03 AM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:35 PM EDT 4.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:08 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:23 AM EDT 5.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:03 AM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:35 PM EDT 4.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT 0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Albany, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.4 |
| 1 am |
| 2.8 |
| 2 am |
| 3.9 |
| 3 am |
| 4.8 |
| 4 am |
| 5.3 |
| 5 am |
| 5.2 |
| 6 am |
| 4.5 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 2.8 |
| 9 am |
| 1.9 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 3 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Albany, NY,
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