Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Highland, NY
May 21, 2024 5:38 PM EDT (21:38 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:28 AM Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 6:39 PM Moonset 4:10 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 400 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms in the evening.
Fri - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 400 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will be in control through Wednesday night, then give way to an approaching cold front on Thursday.
FXUS61 KALY 211955 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 355 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
It will remain warm and muggy through Wednesday, with some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. A cold front on Thursday will bring some additional showers and storms, especially for areas south and east of Albany.
Cooler and less humid air is expected behind the front on Friday with dry weather. Some additional showers are possible through the holiday weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 355 PM EDT...Upper level ridge axis continues to shift southeast of the area and now extends from the mid Atlantic northeast offshore into the western Atlantic Ocean to the east of eastern New England. Meanwhile, a compact upper level disturbance (probably a leftover MCV) is moving along the International Border across the North Country of northern New York. This feature is running along the northern fringe of the ridging. At the surface, high pressure is now located offshore New England, keeping a moist and mild southerly flow in place over the area.
SPC Mesoanalysis shows around 500-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE over the area. 0-6 km bulk shear is only around 20-30 kts, with the better values along and just north of the area closer to the passing disturbance. While mid level lapse rates are rather weak (around 6 C/km), low level lapse rates are high due to the strong solar insolation today, allowing for decent DCAPE (around 800-1200 J/kg).
Some scattered storms developed this afternoon across the Lake George and Glens Falls area, as well as across parts of the Capital Region. Some gusty winds have been occurring as these storms collapse thanks to the steep low level lapse rates, with some reported gusts of 30-50 mph. Radar imagery would suggest some hail has been occurring within these storms as well, although hailstones are likely melting somewhat as they fall.
Through the evening hours, some additional showers and t-storms are possible across northern and eastern parts of the area. The best threat for any stronger storms with gust winds or hail will likely be across northeastern areas and generally over the next few hours. CAMs suggest the threat for any showers or storms will diminish by 7 to 9 pm, as the loss of daytime heating and disturbance moving away tends to end the threat.
After the warm day today, it will remain muggy and mild into the overnight hours. Skies will become partly to mostly clear, especially across southern areas. Some patchy fog may develop, especially late tonight and for any locations that saw rainfall during the day today. Overnight lows will mainly be in the low to mid 60s (some upper 50s across the high terrain).
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Behind the departing disturbance, upper level ridging will briefly reestablish itself for Wednesday. With the ridging in place, it looks like a fairly sunny day, with just some cu developing over the high terrain by afternoon. 850 hpa temps are expected to be around +15 C to +17 C. Highs should be in the upper 80s to near 90 in valley areas, with upper 70s to mid 80s in the high terrain, making this the warmest day of the year so far. Even though it will be muggy, heat index values should stay below advisory criteria, although caution is still urged for anyone spending time outdoors, as this will be the first heat event of the season.
Some high clouds may begin increase by late afternoon or early evening as the next system begins approaching from the Great Lakes. A surface pre-frontal trough will help initiate some convection over western and central New York and this will spread into the area for Wednesday evening into Wednesday night.
Although the best severe threat will likely be west of the area, some gusty winds or hail can't be ruled out for far western areas as the storms enter the area on Wednesday evening. With the loss of daytime heating, the threat for stronger storms will diminish into Wednesday night, although some scattered showers and t-storms are still possible. Otherwise, it looks partly cloudy and muggy with lows in the 60s.
On Thursday, a surface cold front will be crossing the area from west to east, mainly early in the day. Initially, there may only be some isolated to scattered showers along the front as it crosses western areas for early in the day. However, with daytime heating in place, some additional showers and t-storms may eventually develop along the front by afternoon, although it will likely be passing through southeastern areas by the time this occurs. Can't rule out a locally strong storm for areas south and east of Albany on Thursday afternoon, but most of the area should be in the clear by that point. Temps will range from the mid 70s in northwestern areas (where the front will pass first) to the mid 80s in southern areas (where it won't cross until the afternoon hours).
Behind the front, some clearing should occur on Thursday night with less humid air working its way into the area. Lows will be more comfortable than recent nights, with temperatures down into the 50s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Although Friday looks rain-free and less humid than the past few days, it doesn't look as cool as what some models originally suggested, as the upper level trough and associated cooler temps/lower heights look to stay north of the area. Highs should reach the lower to middle 80s in valley areas, although dewpoints will only be in the 50s. With high pressure nearby, skies should be fairly sunny through the day. It should stay quiet into Friday night with partly to mostly clear skies and temps in the 50s.
Over the holiday weekend, a series of upper level disturbances should pass through the region. Although the exact timing and track is still somewhat uncertain, it appears that the best chance for precip will be on Saturday and again on Monday. Will go with chance POPs for both Saturday and Monday, with slight chance on Sunday. Best chance will be during the diurnally favored afternoon and evening hours. Some rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out this activity as well. Daytime temps will generally be in the 70s to low 80s, with 50s at night.
With the upper level trough building into the area, some additional showers can't be ruled out into Tuesday as well. Will continue to keep chance POPs in place, with plenty of clouds and temps still near seasonable levels, although the forecast is more uncertain out this far.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18z/Wed...an upper level disturbance will track north of the region through late this afternoon, potentially triggering isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. The best chance for any thunderstorms will be at KGFL, with a few showers possible at KALB/KPSF. Can not rule out thunder at KALB/KPSF, however chances are fairly low compared to KGFL. A brief period of MVFR/IFR Vsbys will be possible within any heavier showers.
Any showers/thunderstorms should diminish between 21Z/Tue-02Z/Wed, with mainly VFR conditions expected through 18Z/Wed. However, any areas which receive showers/thunderstorms this afternoon could have some patchy ground fog develop tonight with possible MVFR/IFR Vsbys.
This potential appears greatest at KGFL, where a period of MVFR Vsbys has been indicated between 05Z-11Z/Wed.
Light south winds should average less than 10 KT this afternoon, becoming mainly light/variable after sunset. Winds will then become south to southwest at 5-10 KT by late Wednesday morning.
Winds will be stronger, and variable in direction in/near any thunderstorms this afternoon.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 355 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
It will remain warm and muggy through Wednesday, with some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. A cold front on Thursday will bring some additional showers and storms, especially for areas south and east of Albany.
Cooler and less humid air is expected behind the front on Friday with dry weather. Some additional showers are possible through the holiday weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 355 PM EDT...Upper level ridge axis continues to shift southeast of the area and now extends from the mid Atlantic northeast offshore into the western Atlantic Ocean to the east of eastern New England. Meanwhile, a compact upper level disturbance (probably a leftover MCV) is moving along the International Border across the North Country of northern New York. This feature is running along the northern fringe of the ridging. At the surface, high pressure is now located offshore New England, keeping a moist and mild southerly flow in place over the area.
SPC Mesoanalysis shows around 500-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE over the area. 0-6 km bulk shear is only around 20-30 kts, with the better values along and just north of the area closer to the passing disturbance. While mid level lapse rates are rather weak (around 6 C/km), low level lapse rates are high due to the strong solar insolation today, allowing for decent DCAPE (around 800-1200 J/kg).
Some scattered storms developed this afternoon across the Lake George and Glens Falls area, as well as across parts of the Capital Region. Some gusty winds have been occurring as these storms collapse thanks to the steep low level lapse rates, with some reported gusts of 30-50 mph. Radar imagery would suggest some hail has been occurring within these storms as well, although hailstones are likely melting somewhat as they fall.
Through the evening hours, some additional showers and t-storms are possible across northern and eastern parts of the area. The best threat for any stronger storms with gust winds or hail will likely be across northeastern areas and generally over the next few hours. CAMs suggest the threat for any showers or storms will diminish by 7 to 9 pm, as the loss of daytime heating and disturbance moving away tends to end the threat.
After the warm day today, it will remain muggy and mild into the overnight hours. Skies will become partly to mostly clear, especially across southern areas. Some patchy fog may develop, especially late tonight and for any locations that saw rainfall during the day today. Overnight lows will mainly be in the low to mid 60s (some upper 50s across the high terrain).
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Behind the departing disturbance, upper level ridging will briefly reestablish itself for Wednesday. With the ridging in place, it looks like a fairly sunny day, with just some cu developing over the high terrain by afternoon. 850 hpa temps are expected to be around +15 C to +17 C. Highs should be in the upper 80s to near 90 in valley areas, with upper 70s to mid 80s in the high terrain, making this the warmest day of the year so far. Even though it will be muggy, heat index values should stay below advisory criteria, although caution is still urged for anyone spending time outdoors, as this will be the first heat event of the season.
Some high clouds may begin increase by late afternoon or early evening as the next system begins approaching from the Great Lakes. A surface pre-frontal trough will help initiate some convection over western and central New York and this will spread into the area for Wednesday evening into Wednesday night.
Although the best severe threat will likely be west of the area, some gusty winds or hail can't be ruled out for far western areas as the storms enter the area on Wednesday evening. With the loss of daytime heating, the threat for stronger storms will diminish into Wednesday night, although some scattered showers and t-storms are still possible. Otherwise, it looks partly cloudy and muggy with lows in the 60s.
On Thursday, a surface cold front will be crossing the area from west to east, mainly early in the day. Initially, there may only be some isolated to scattered showers along the front as it crosses western areas for early in the day. However, with daytime heating in place, some additional showers and t-storms may eventually develop along the front by afternoon, although it will likely be passing through southeastern areas by the time this occurs. Can't rule out a locally strong storm for areas south and east of Albany on Thursday afternoon, but most of the area should be in the clear by that point. Temps will range from the mid 70s in northwestern areas (where the front will pass first) to the mid 80s in southern areas (where it won't cross until the afternoon hours).
Behind the front, some clearing should occur on Thursday night with less humid air working its way into the area. Lows will be more comfortable than recent nights, with temperatures down into the 50s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Although Friday looks rain-free and less humid than the past few days, it doesn't look as cool as what some models originally suggested, as the upper level trough and associated cooler temps/lower heights look to stay north of the area. Highs should reach the lower to middle 80s in valley areas, although dewpoints will only be in the 50s. With high pressure nearby, skies should be fairly sunny through the day. It should stay quiet into Friday night with partly to mostly clear skies and temps in the 50s.
Over the holiday weekend, a series of upper level disturbances should pass through the region. Although the exact timing and track is still somewhat uncertain, it appears that the best chance for precip will be on Saturday and again on Monday. Will go with chance POPs for both Saturday and Monday, with slight chance on Sunday. Best chance will be during the diurnally favored afternoon and evening hours. Some rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out this activity as well. Daytime temps will generally be in the 70s to low 80s, with 50s at night.
With the upper level trough building into the area, some additional showers can't be ruled out into Tuesday as well. Will continue to keep chance POPs in place, with plenty of clouds and temps still near seasonable levels, although the forecast is more uncertain out this far.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18z/Wed...an upper level disturbance will track north of the region through late this afternoon, potentially triggering isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. The best chance for any thunderstorms will be at KGFL, with a few showers possible at KALB/KPSF. Can not rule out thunder at KALB/KPSF, however chances are fairly low compared to KGFL. A brief period of MVFR/IFR Vsbys will be possible within any heavier showers.
Any showers/thunderstorms should diminish between 21Z/Tue-02Z/Wed, with mainly VFR conditions expected through 18Z/Wed. However, any areas which receive showers/thunderstorms this afternoon could have some patchy ground fog develop tonight with possible MVFR/IFR Vsbys.
This potential appears greatest at KGFL, where a period of MVFR Vsbys has been indicated between 05Z-11Z/Wed.
Light south winds should average less than 10 KT this afternoon, becoming mainly light/variable after sunset. Winds will then become south to southwest at 5-10 KT by late Wednesday morning.
Winds will be stronger, and variable in direction in/near any thunderstorms this afternoon.
Outlook...
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 6 sm | 45 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 61°F | 40% | 29.87 | |
| KSWF NEW YORK STEWART INTL,NY | 16 sm | 53 min | WSW 10 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 86°F | 59°F | 40% | 29.89 | |
| KMGJ ORANGE COUNTY,NY | 21 sm | 44 min | SSW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 59°F | 43% | 29.88 |
Poughkeepsie
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:16 PM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:16 PM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:32 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.2 |
| 2 am |
| 2.7 |
| 3 am |
| 2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.6 |
| 10 am |
| 2.2 |
| 11 am |
| 2.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.2 |
Hyde Park
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:22 AM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:42 PM EDT 2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:58 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:22 AM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:42 PM EDT 2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:58 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 1.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.1 |
| 11 am |
| 2.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 3 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.1 |
Albany, NY,
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