Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Garland, TN
May 17, 2024 7:35 PM CDT (00:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:50 AM Sunset 8:01 PM Moonrise 2:39 PM Moonset 2:54 AM |
FXUS64 KMEG 172355 AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 655 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 226 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
A few isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible for the remainder of the evening. Patchy fog is possible to develop tonight in low lying areas, but it could be widespread. High pressure settles in on Sunday and temperatures will be on the rise and our first 90 degree day will arrive early next week. Rain chances return early next week.
DISCUSSION
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Widespread shower conditions have come to an end this afternoon and only a few returns are depicted on KNQA as of 1:30 PM. A few more isolated showers could pop up this evening mainly along and south of I-40 as a weak high pressure system is currently hovering around the AR/MO border. A decaying MCV under southwest flow will keep showers and thunderstorm chances in the forecast through Saturday morning until a trough is east of the Mid-South. Fog looks likely to develop tonight, given the abundance of moisture. Any fog that does develop should be patchy, but areas of locally dense fog is possible.
High pressure begins to settle in Sunday, and we could see our first 90 degree days of the season on Monday, but confidence is higher for Tuesday. Rain chances increase again Tuesday through the middle of the week. SPC has highlighted an area just to the northwest of the Mid-South for at least a 15% chance for severe weather due to an upper level trough on Tuesday. The Mid-South may be introduced into at least a 15% chance for severe weather on Wednesday, but it is too early to get into specifics.
DNM
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
A low confidence forecast over the next 18 hours or so. An upper level disturbance, near the ArkLaMiss, will continue to lift northeast and spawn scattered SHRAs and TSRAs over the next several hours. Additionally, a Meso Convective Vortex (MCV) was analyzed just west of KLIT. Both features will combine to influence the weather tonight through tomorrow afternoon.
Hi-res model guidance shows some general consensus of SHRA coverage near MEM and TUP through the overnight period. Decided to add VCSH to MEM through much of the period as SHRAs may linger as long as 12 hours. TSRAs are possible tomorrow afternoon at nearly all sites with the traversing MCV, with the highest confidence at MEM and TUP. Winds will remain weak overnight and then to the north by tomorrow afternoon.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 655 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 226 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
A few isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible for the remainder of the evening. Patchy fog is possible to develop tonight in low lying areas, but it could be widespread. High pressure settles in on Sunday and temperatures will be on the rise and our first 90 degree day will arrive early next week. Rain chances return early next week.
DISCUSSION
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Widespread shower conditions have come to an end this afternoon and only a few returns are depicted on KNQA as of 1:30 PM. A few more isolated showers could pop up this evening mainly along and south of I-40 as a weak high pressure system is currently hovering around the AR/MO border. A decaying MCV under southwest flow will keep showers and thunderstorm chances in the forecast through Saturday morning until a trough is east of the Mid-South. Fog looks likely to develop tonight, given the abundance of moisture. Any fog that does develop should be patchy, but areas of locally dense fog is possible.
High pressure begins to settle in Sunday, and we could see our first 90 degree days of the season on Monday, but confidence is higher for Tuesday. Rain chances increase again Tuesday through the middle of the week. SPC has highlighted an area just to the northwest of the Mid-South for at least a 15% chance for severe weather due to an upper level trough on Tuesday. The Mid-South may be introduced into at least a 15% chance for severe weather on Wednesday, but it is too early to get into specifics.
DNM
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
A low confidence forecast over the next 18 hours or so. An upper level disturbance, near the ArkLaMiss, will continue to lift northeast and spawn scattered SHRAs and TSRAs over the next several hours. Additionally, a Meso Convective Vortex (MCV) was analyzed just west of KLIT. Both features will combine to influence the weather tonight through tomorrow afternoon.
Hi-res model guidance shows some general consensus of SHRA coverage near MEM and TUP through the overnight period. Decided to add VCSH to MEM through much of the period as SHRAs may linger as long as 12 hours. TSRAs are possible tomorrow afternoon at nearly all sites with the traversing MCV, with the highest confidence at MEM and TUP. Winds will remain weak overnight and then to the north by tomorrow afternoon.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KNQA MILLINGTONMEMPHIS,TN | 19 sm | 45 min | calm | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 77°F | 68°F | 74% | 29.74 | |
| KHKA BLYTHEVILLE MUNI,AR | 21 sm | 3 min | E 05 | 10 sm | Overcast | Thunderstorm | 75°F | 64°F | 69% | 29.77 |
Memphis, TN,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE