Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 5:41 PM   Moonset 3:44 AM

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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 930 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Overnight - SE winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed - NE winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 9 seconds and se 1 ft at 3 seconds.Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 930 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure inland will slowly shift offshore through mid week. , a cold front will approach late this week, stalling north of the area during the weekend.

FXUS62 KILM 220142 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 942 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will shift offshore bringing warmer temperatures for the mid to late week period. A stalling cold front and passing disturbances aloft will bring rain chances starting Fri and continuing into the upcoming Memorial holiday weekend.

UPDATE
Upped portions of the patchy fog to areas of fog given latest short term guidance. Latest 11.2-3.9 micron sat imagery not indicating any fog or low stratus, with local sfc obs also illustrating. The 2 will simultaneously be closely monitored overnight given the expectation/prognostication remains favorable.

Marine, sfc pg relaxed, result wind speeds less than 10 kt. Sfc pressure pattern yields ENE-ESE wind directions. Seas generally around 2 ft, mainly from an ENE swell with a 1 ft or less wind wave on top.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
HIgh pressure still to our north, bringing a dewpoint-suppressing NE wind (well, outside of the seabreeze, that is). The high will be retreating tonight leaving behind some light and variable winds and the stage seems set for a little fog, though vsby restrictions may only be limited to aviation, i.e. no worse than 2 SM. As a very light southerly breeze becomes established Wednesday the dewpoints will increase slowly and the afternoon will warm well into the 80s away from the beaches.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
What can be a typical late spring pattern continues to be advertised by short and long range guidance. This is reflected in a mid level pattern becoming more east/west oriented in time with a similar configured frontal zone at the surface. Embedded shortwaves and or mesoscale convective systems roll by occasionally with this pattern. For the short term the best pops/forcing occur Friday afternoon and evening with a more uncertain chance Thursday evening. Temperatures on the rise throughout aided in part by a westerly/downslope component.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Somewhat unsettled pattern continues into next week with the same features mentioned in the short term. A drying trend is noted very late in the period as a stronger shortwave across the Great Lakes pushes the stationary/cold front to the south. Some dewpoints in the 60s which by that time will have been absent from the observations for a while be welcome.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR to dominate this evening with clear skies, few thin cirrus and contrails, under ESE-SE winds 5 kt or less. Winds will become calm most if not across all terminals later this evening and likely prevail thru the overnight. Low level or sfc based moisture avbl for fog with possible onshore movement of low clouds Cape Fear north. This could keep fog development to a minimal for ILM . Nevertheless, the fog/low stratus will run MVFR to occasionally IFR that should quickly dissipate around 12Z. Light and variable winds 5 kt or less to dominate the morning. Will see diurnally driven Cu once again around 5k ft.
Another active aftn/early evening sea breeze with SE- SSE 10 kt at the coastal terminals with winds becoming S-SW around 5 kt inland terminals.

Extended Outlook...Mostly VFR outside morning low clouds/fog, mainly through Thu morning. Periodic flight restrictions possible with showers/storms coverage starting Fri and continuing into the upcoming weekend.

MARINE
Through Wednesday...Very light pressure gradient and the absence of any long period swell means tranquil conditions through the period. The weak high will initially be centered to our north, but the ridge axis will retreat heading into Wednesday. This will turn NE (and somewhat variable) wind to the SE by the end of the period.

Wednesday Night through Sunday...Its all but summer on the calendar across the coastal waters through the period. Winds will be southwest in a range of 10- 15 knots. Not a lot of variability expected in seas as well with a values wobbling in a range of 2-4 feet.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ107.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Nixon Crossroads
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Tue -- 02:14 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:33 AM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nixon Crossroads, ICWW, South Carolina, Tide feet

Tubbs Inlet
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Tue -- 01:08 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:56 AM EDT     3.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:08 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:30 PM EDT     4.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tubbs Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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