Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for La Union, NM
May 17, 2024 7:49 PM MDT (01:49 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:05 AM Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 1:51 PM Moonset 2:00 AM |
FXUS64 KEPZ 172339 AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 539 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
Temperatures will warm each afternoon through Sunday. Winds will be relatively light to start the weekend but become breezier by Sunday. Winds will peak on Monday and Tuesday while temperatures decrease some. Wednesday and Thursday will feature seasonal warmth and afternoon breezes.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
An UL ridge is building in/ translating east into the area in the wake of yesterday's system. Drier and warmer air is in place although lingering energy on the back-side of the system is fostering some cumulus clouds. At 215 PM, a thunderstorm was noted over the Otero Mesa. Impacts will be minimal, and most locations will remain dry through tonight as the ridge continues to build in and the system exits. Saturday will see weather pretty similar to today, except it will be warmer and drier.
By Sunday, the ridge slides far enough to our east while a semi- permanent trough sets up to our west to place us in persistent west to southwest flow aloft. Temperatures will near 100 in El Paso on Sunday and perhaps Monday. For Sunday, the trough will only foster some breezes, but the trough slides closer on Monday to ramp up wind a few ticks with a s/w trough axis timed for around midnight Tuesday. The main impact will be increased fire concerns, but the passing trough axis will push highs back closer to normal though still above for Tuesday. A second trough axis swings through on Tuesday allowing for fairly similar weather conditions as compared to Monday. It will also drop our temperatures a few more degrees going into Wednesday. We finish the period remaining in west to southwest flow with highs near normal and with more afternoon breezes.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 534 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
Just a thin layer or residual moisture remains over the region in the NW flow behind this afternoon's departing upper trough. This means some lingering mid-level cumulus in the 100-130kft range in the FEW-SCT coverage. These clouds should rapidly dissipate after sunset, with skies bcmn SKC. Winds will slacked from 10g20kts through sunset to 5-10kts after 02-03Z. Winds will be from 260-290. Tomorrow, mostly clear skies, winds from 240-270 increasing to 8-13kts with gusts 18-25kts.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
A very dry air mass is expected to persist for the entire forecast period. Min RH values will drop into the single digits each afternoon. For Friday and Saturday, winds will generally stay under 10 MPH, but winds will increase to around 15 MPH for Sunday.
Winds will be close to critical levels on Monday though some uncertainty on magnitude remains. Nevertheless, with exceptionally dry air (4-8 min RH values), dry fuels, and abnormal warmth (5-10 degrees above warmer), I elected to issue a fire weather watch for our NM zones. Chances of exceeding critical winds are roughly 40-60 with probabilities decreasing across southern portions of Otero and Dona Ana County. Texas is not included within the watch as winds are forecast to be lighter there. Tuesday looks similar in conditions for Monday, so future weather headlines may be needed.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 65 97 68 98 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 59 90 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 59 95 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 55 92 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 42 70 49 70 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 91 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 52 83 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 54 93 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 53 90 56 90 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 62 93 65 94 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 53 95 58 98 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 56 96 60 100 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 58 87 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 58 95 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 57 92 60 94 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 65 93 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 55 92 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 55 94 57 94 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 59 93 62 94 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 56 91 61 93 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 49 82 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 47 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 46 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 50 84 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 55 90 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 52 91 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 47 84 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 87 52 87 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 52 90 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 85 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 53 86 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 53 91 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 53 91 57 92 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 53 91 56 92 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 54 85 55 87 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for NMZ110>113.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 539 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
Temperatures will warm each afternoon through Sunday. Winds will be relatively light to start the weekend but become breezier by Sunday. Winds will peak on Monday and Tuesday while temperatures decrease some. Wednesday and Thursday will feature seasonal warmth and afternoon breezes.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
An UL ridge is building in/ translating east into the area in the wake of yesterday's system. Drier and warmer air is in place although lingering energy on the back-side of the system is fostering some cumulus clouds. At 215 PM, a thunderstorm was noted over the Otero Mesa. Impacts will be minimal, and most locations will remain dry through tonight as the ridge continues to build in and the system exits. Saturday will see weather pretty similar to today, except it will be warmer and drier.
By Sunday, the ridge slides far enough to our east while a semi- permanent trough sets up to our west to place us in persistent west to southwest flow aloft. Temperatures will near 100 in El Paso on Sunday and perhaps Monday. For Sunday, the trough will only foster some breezes, but the trough slides closer on Monday to ramp up wind a few ticks with a s/w trough axis timed for around midnight Tuesday. The main impact will be increased fire concerns, but the passing trough axis will push highs back closer to normal though still above for Tuesday. A second trough axis swings through on Tuesday allowing for fairly similar weather conditions as compared to Monday. It will also drop our temperatures a few more degrees going into Wednesday. We finish the period remaining in west to southwest flow with highs near normal and with more afternoon breezes.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 534 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
Just a thin layer or residual moisture remains over the region in the NW flow behind this afternoon's departing upper trough. This means some lingering mid-level cumulus in the 100-130kft range in the FEW-SCT coverage. These clouds should rapidly dissipate after sunset, with skies bcmn SKC. Winds will slacked from 10g20kts through sunset to 5-10kts after 02-03Z. Winds will be from 260-290. Tomorrow, mostly clear skies, winds from 240-270 increasing to 8-13kts with gusts 18-25kts.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 215 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024
A very dry air mass is expected to persist for the entire forecast period. Min RH values will drop into the single digits each afternoon. For Friday and Saturday, winds will generally stay under 10 MPH, but winds will increase to around 15 MPH for Sunday.
Winds will be close to critical levels on Monday though some uncertainty on magnitude remains. Nevertheless, with exceptionally dry air (4-8 min RH values), dry fuels, and abnormal warmth (5-10 degrees above warmer), I elected to issue a fire weather watch for our NM zones. Chances of exceeding critical winds are roughly 40-60 with probabilities decreasing across southern portions of Otero and Dona Ana County. Texas is not included within the watch as winds are forecast to be lighter there. Tuesday looks similar in conditions for Monday, so future weather headlines may be needed.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 65 97 68 98 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 59 90 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 59 95 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 55 92 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 42 70 49 70 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 91 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 52 83 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 54 93 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 53 90 56 90 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 62 93 65 94 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 53 95 58 98 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 56 96 60 100 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 58 87 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 58 95 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 57 92 60 94 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 65 93 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 55 92 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 55 94 57 94 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 59 93 62 94 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 56 91 61 93 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 49 82 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 47 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 46 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 50 84 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 55 90 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 52 91 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 47 84 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 87 52 87 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 52 90 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 85 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 53 86 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 53 91 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 53 91 57 92 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 53 91 56 92 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 54 85 55 87 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for NMZ110>113.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KDNA DONA ANA COUNTY INTL JETPORT,NM | 5 sm | 14 min | W 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 27°F | 12% | 29.88 | |
| KBIF BIGGS AAF (FORT BLISS),TX | 16 sm | 54 min | var 03 | 7 sm | A Few Clouds | 86°F | 30°F | 13% | 29.90 | |
| KELP EL PASO INTL,TX | 18 sm | 58 min | WSW 09G16 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 88°F | 30°F | 13% | 29.85 |
El Paso, TX,
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