Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 6:10 PM   Moonset 4:20 AM

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GMZ635 Expires:202405212145;;589646 Fzus54 Kmob 210852 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 352 am cdt Tue may 21 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633>636-212145- perdido bay-pensacola bay system-western choctawhatchee bay- eastern choctawhatchee bay- 352 am cdt Tue may 21 2024
Today - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tonight - South winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

GMZ600 352 Am Cdt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis - Light easterly winds today become light southeasterly to southerly through the remainder of the week.

FXUS64 KMOB 211159 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 659 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 520 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024/

New NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 516 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Upper level ridging will build over the area through Wednesday.
The subsidence beneath the ridge will maintain a dry pattern with mostly clear skies and above normal warmth. High pressure over the western Atlantic will maintain a light southeasterly flow.
Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 inland and low to mid 80s near the coast. Lows tonight will be in the low/mid 60s inland to around 70 near the coast. /13

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 516 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Dry and warm will be the predominant forecast through the holiday weekend.

Mid and upper level ridging begins to dampen out as we roll into Thursday as a series of shortwaves slides around the periphery of the ridge. Flow aloft turns zonal through the first half of the weekend as shortwaves pivot across the region. Meanwhile, a surface high over the western Atlantic maintains a firm grip over parts of the Southeast and eastern Gulf through Saturday. The influence of deep layer ridging should keep rain chances minimal through the weekend with only a 15-20% POP in the afternoon and early evening generally north of the Highway 84 corridor (further away from the influence of the ridging) Friday through Sunday.

A more potent shortwave dives across the Plains early next week and may bring the next substantial chance for showers and storms beyond Monday. While we stuck to the blended guidance on Days 7 and 8, the best chance for showers and storms likely won't develop until Day 8 (Tuesday).

Heat indices soar up to 100°F over the holiday weekend with daytime high temperatures rising into the mid to low 90s across inland communities (upper 80s at the beaches). Overnight lows only fall into the 70s this weekend.

Beach Note: Rip current risk remains LOW through Saturday with the RCMOS probabilities remaining LOW through at least Sunday.
Probabilities do begin to increase toward the MODERATE category by the afternoon hours on Memorial Day. 07/mb

MARINE...
Issued at 516 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and waves near the coast due to the afternoon seabreeze. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 86 67 86 68 86 71 87 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 Pensacola 83 69 85 71 85 73 85 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 Destin 83 71 84 73 84 74 84 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 Evergreen 87 63 90 66 90 67 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Waynesboro 89 65 89 66 90 69 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Camden 87 64 89 66 89 68 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 Crestview 88 63 90 66 89 67 89 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Milton
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:23 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:37 AM CDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:18 PM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Bay Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:23 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:20 AM CDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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