Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Miramar Beach, FL
May 21, 2024 9:34 PM CDT (02:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:47 AM Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 6:06 PM Moonset 4:20 AM |
GMZ636 Expires:202405221515;;634125 Fzus54 Kmob 220210 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 910 pm cdt Tue may 21 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-221515- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 910 pm cdt Tue may 21 2024
Rest of tonight - South winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest, then becoming northeast late. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Wednesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Wednesday night - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.
Sunday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 910 pm cdt Tue may 21 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-221515- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 910 pm cdt Tue may 21 2024
GMZ600 910 Pm Cdt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis - A mainly light southeasterly to southerly flow pattern will continue over the marine area through the remainder of the week.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 220115 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 915 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 914 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The previous forecast appears to be on track, and no major adjustments were made.
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The region will continue to remain on the northwest quadrant of a mid and upper level ridge that is currently centered over central Mexico. In conjunction with the mid and upper level ridge, a surface high pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to impose an easterly wind across the region. Overall, the pressure gradient over the area will generally remain very relaxed, which will lead to very light to near calm winds. With calm winds outside of easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze, there will be the potential for patchy fog across portions of the Florida Panhandle, and I-75 corridor Wednesday morning. Overall, outside of the patchy fog, Wednesday will generally be a calm day high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Warm to hot conditions continue through the period with overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 70 and daytime highs in the lower 90s.
Little to no rain is expected.
A strong H5 over Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will build northeastward over Florida and the Southeast. This results in dry and hot weather over the region. At the surface, the high nudges a little more south, which causes the easterly winds at the beginning of the period to turn more southerly during the day Thursday.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
A continuation of warmer than normal conditions is expected as we head into Memorial Day weekend. Daytime highs will generally top out in the lower to middle 90s with overnight lows warming in the lower to middle 70s. There is a small, less than 20 percent, chance of showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze each afternoon. A slightly better chance for showers and thunderstorms is possible Monday as a disturbance passes north of the area. In other words, very summer-like here across the region for the final weekend of May.
A stout H5 ridge over the western Gulf of Mexico will slowly get pushed west over Mexico over the weekend and into early next week.
This opens the door for a few H5 disturbances to pass north of the region. Guidance suggests the first disturbance to pass through the Southeast Saturday into Saturday night with another one sweeping through late Monday into Tuesday. While these disturbances are forecast to sweep north of the region, they are close enough to increase rain chances slightly over the weekend and will need to be monitored in case things trend south over the coming days.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Patchy fog will be possible across the area overnight, with KECP and KVLD most likely to see impacts to terminals. IFR to LIFR ceilings will also be possible at KVLD in the early morning hours but should improve to VFR after sunrise. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions possible for waters east of Apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into Memorial Day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run less than 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
With high pressure aloft, there will be no fire weather concerns over the next several days. This is in combination of the well above average rainfall a majority of the region has experienced the last month. Transport winds will remain out of the southeast at around 5- 10 mph, while mixing heights reach near 5000 ft. This will lead to non-concerning dispersion values across the area. Minimum RH values will generally remain in the low to mid 40s across the area.
Overall, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Heavy rainfall from the weekend is still working through the river system. The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville has dropped below minor flood stage after cresting just over 16.5 feet. Downstream at Concord, the Ochlockonee is now forecast to reach Moderate Flood Stage later tonight as water from Thomasville works down the river.
The river will slowly crest through the middle of the week with decreases below flood by late this week.
Rises on the lower Withlacoochee below Valdosta continue with it cresting at Quitman on Wednesday or Thursday and Pinetta over the weekend. Further downstream into the upper Suwanee basin, slow rises into action stage and near minor flood stage are likely by later this week and into next week as water moves downstream.
The Choctawhatchee River at Bruce is forecast to crest in Minor Flood Wednesday afternoon before slowly dropping into Action Stage later this week. Otherwise, the rest of the rivers in the Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama have dropped below flood stage and will continue to drop the rest of the week.
No significant rain is expected in the next 5 to 7 days so expect additional decreases on rivers once water moves its way through the system this week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 68 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 65 88 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 67 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 66 91 68 91 / 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 71 83 72 84 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM CDT this evening for FLZ108- 112.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 915 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 914 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The previous forecast appears to be on track, and no major adjustments were made.
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The region will continue to remain on the northwest quadrant of a mid and upper level ridge that is currently centered over central Mexico. In conjunction with the mid and upper level ridge, a surface high pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to impose an easterly wind across the region. Overall, the pressure gradient over the area will generally remain very relaxed, which will lead to very light to near calm winds. With calm winds outside of easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze, there will be the potential for patchy fog across portions of the Florida Panhandle, and I-75 corridor Wednesday morning. Overall, outside of the patchy fog, Wednesday will generally be a calm day high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Warm to hot conditions continue through the period with overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 70 and daytime highs in the lower 90s.
Little to no rain is expected.
A strong H5 over Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will build northeastward over Florida and the Southeast. This results in dry and hot weather over the region. At the surface, the high nudges a little more south, which causes the easterly winds at the beginning of the period to turn more southerly during the day Thursday.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
A continuation of warmer than normal conditions is expected as we head into Memorial Day weekend. Daytime highs will generally top out in the lower to middle 90s with overnight lows warming in the lower to middle 70s. There is a small, less than 20 percent, chance of showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze each afternoon. A slightly better chance for showers and thunderstorms is possible Monday as a disturbance passes north of the area. In other words, very summer-like here across the region for the final weekend of May.
A stout H5 ridge over the western Gulf of Mexico will slowly get pushed west over Mexico over the weekend and into early next week.
This opens the door for a few H5 disturbances to pass north of the region. Guidance suggests the first disturbance to pass through the Southeast Saturday into Saturday night with another one sweeping through late Monday into Tuesday. While these disturbances are forecast to sweep north of the region, they are close enough to increase rain chances slightly over the weekend and will need to be monitored in case things trend south over the coming days.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Patchy fog will be possible across the area overnight, with KECP and KVLD most likely to see impacts to terminals. IFR to LIFR ceilings will also be possible at KVLD in the early morning hours but should improve to VFR after sunrise. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions possible for waters east of Apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into Memorial Day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run less than 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
With high pressure aloft, there will be no fire weather concerns over the next several days. This is in combination of the well above average rainfall a majority of the region has experienced the last month. Transport winds will remain out of the southeast at around 5- 10 mph, while mixing heights reach near 5000 ft. This will lead to non-concerning dispersion values across the area. Minimum RH values will generally remain in the low to mid 40s across the area.
Overall, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Heavy rainfall from the weekend is still working through the river system. The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville has dropped below minor flood stage after cresting just over 16.5 feet. Downstream at Concord, the Ochlockonee is now forecast to reach Moderate Flood Stage later tonight as water from Thomasville works down the river.
The river will slowly crest through the middle of the week with decreases below flood by late this week.
Rises on the lower Withlacoochee below Valdosta continue with it cresting at Quitman on Wednesday or Thursday and Pinetta over the weekend. Further downstream into the upper Suwanee basin, slow rises into action stage and near minor flood stage are likely by later this week and into next week as water moves downstream.
The Choctawhatchee River at Bruce is forecast to crest in Minor Flood Wednesday afternoon before slowly dropping into Action Stage later this week. Otherwise, the rest of the rivers in the Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama have dropped below flood stage and will continue to drop the rest of the week.
No significant rain is expected in the next 5 to 7 days so expect additional decreases on rivers once water moves its way through the system this week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 68 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 65 88 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 67 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 66 91 68 91 / 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 71 83 72 84 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM CDT this evening for FLZ108- 112.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCBF1 | 16 mi | 47 min | SSW 6G | 81°F | 29.95 | |||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 28 mi | 47 min | S 5.1G | 82°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KDTS DESTIN EXECUTIVE,FL | 18 sm | 41 min | S 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 77°F | 68°F | 74% | 29.95 | |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 20 sm | 41 min | SSW 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 70°F | 83% | 29.95 | |
| KVPS EGLIN AFB/DESTINFT WALTON BEACH,FL | 23 sm | 39 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 77°F | 68°F | 74% | 29.95 |
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:19 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:12 AM CDT 1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:17 PM CDT -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:04 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:19 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:12 AM CDT 1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:17 PM CDT -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:04 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.3 |
| 6 am |
| 1.4 |
| 7 am |
| 1.5 |
| 8 am |
| 1.5 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:19 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:15 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:04 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:54 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:19 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:15 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:04 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:54 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.1 |
Northwest Florida,
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