Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Parker, FL
May 21, 2024 5:45 PM CDT (22:45 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:43 AM Sunset 7:34 PM Moonrise 6:03 PM Moonset 4:18 AM |
GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 207 Pm Cdt Tue May 21 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight, then becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 307 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis -
easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with small craft exercise caution conditions possible for waters east of apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into memorial day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run between 1 to 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or Thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with small craft exercise caution conditions possible for waters east of apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into memorial day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run between 1 to 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or Thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 211924 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The region will continue to remain on the northwest quadrant of a mid and upper level ridge that is currently centered over central Mexico. In conjunction with the mid and upper level ridge, a surface high pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to impose an easterly wind across the region. Overall, the pressure gradient over the area will generally remain very relaxed, which will lead to very light to near calm winds. With calm winds outside of easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze, there will be the potential for patchy fog across portions of the Florida Panhandle, and I-75 corridor Wednesday morning. Overall, outside of the patchy fog, Wednesday will generally be a calm day high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Warm to hot conditions continue through the period with overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 70 and daytime highs in the lower 90s.
Little to no rain is expected.
A strong H5 over Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will build northeastward over Florida and the Southeast. This results in dry and hot weather over the region. At the surface, the high nudges a little more south, which causes the easterly winds at the beginning of the period to turn more southerly during the day Thursday.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
A continuation of warmer than normal conditions is expected as we head into Memorial Day weekend. Daytime highs will generally top out in the lower to middle 90s with overnight lows warming in the lower to middle 70s. There is a small, less than 20 percent, chance of showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze each afternoon. A slightly better chance for showers and thunderstorms is possible Monday as a disturbance passes north of the area. In other words, very summer-like here across the region for the final weekend of May.
A stout H5 ridge over the western Gulf of Mexico will slowly get pushed west over Mexico over the weekend and into early next week.
This opens the door for a few H5 disturbances to pass north of the region. Guidance suggests the first disturbance to pass through the Southeast Saturday into Saturday night with another one sweeping through late Monday into Tuesday. While these disturbances are forecast to sweep north of the region, they are close enough to increase rain chances slightly over the weekend and will need to be monitored in case things trend south over the coming days.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
VFR conditions look remain through today and tonight, with LIFR conditions developing at VLD overnight. Some possible MVFR VSBYs look to develop at ECP towards the early morning hours; however, there is more uncertainty in these restrictions developing, and they could be removed in subsequent TAF updates. Overall, VFR conditions look to remain at all other terminals through the period, with clear skies developing overnight, and becoming scattered through mid day tomorrow. Winds look to remain calm or out of the southeast at around 5 knots or less through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions possible for waters east of Apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into Memorial Day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run less than 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
With high pressure aloft, there will be no fire weather concerns over the next several days. This is in combination of the well above average rainfall a majority of the region has experienced the last month. Transport winds will remain out of the southeast at around 5- 10 mph, while mixing heights reach near 5000 ft. This will lead to non-concerning dispersion values across the area. Minimum RH values will generally remain in the low to mid 40s across the area.
Overall, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Heavy rainfall from the weekend is still working through the river system. The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville has dropped below minor flood stage after cresting just over 16.5 feet. Downstream at Concord, the Ochlockonee is now forecast to reach Moderate Flood Stage later tonight as water from Thomasville works down the river.
The river will slowly crest through the middle of the week with decreases below flood by late this week.
Rises on the lower Withlacoochee below Valdosta continue with it cresting at Quitman on Wednesday or Thursday and Pinetta over the weekend. Further downstream into the upper Suwanee basin, slow rises into action stage and near minor flood stage are likely by later this week and into next week as water moves downstream.
The Choctawhatchee River at Bruce is forecast to crest in Minor Flood Wednesday afternoon before slowly dropping into Action Stage later this week. Otherwise, the rest of the rivers in the Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama have dropped below flood stage and will continue to drop the rest of the week.
No significant rain is expected in the next 5 to 7 days so expect additional decreases on rivers once water moves its way through the system this week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 68 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 65 88 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 67 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 66 91 68 91 / 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 71 83 72 84 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM CDT this evening for FLZ108- 112.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
The region will continue to remain on the northwest quadrant of a mid and upper level ridge that is currently centered over central Mexico. In conjunction with the mid and upper level ridge, a surface high pressure centered over Bermuda will continue to impose an easterly wind across the region. Overall, the pressure gradient over the area will generally remain very relaxed, which will lead to very light to near calm winds. With calm winds outside of easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze, there will be the potential for patchy fog across portions of the Florida Panhandle, and I-75 corridor Wednesday morning. Overall, outside of the patchy fog, Wednesday will generally be a calm day high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Warm to hot conditions continue through the period with overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 70 and daytime highs in the lower 90s.
Little to no rain is expected.
A strong H5 over Mexico and the western Gulf of Mexico will build northeastward over Florida and the Southeast. This results in dry and hot weather over the region. At the surface, the high nudges a little more south, which causes the easterly winds at the beginning of the period to turn more southerly during the day Thursday.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
A continuation of warmer than normal conditions is expected as we head into Memorial Day weekend. Daytime highs will generally top out in the lower to middle 90s with overnight lows warming in the lower to middle 70s. There is a small, less than 20 percent, chance of showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze each afternoon. A slightly better chance for showers and thunderstorms is possible Monday as a disturbance passes north of the area. In other words, very summer-like here across the region for the final weekend of May.
A stout H5 ridge over the western Gulf of Mexico will slowly get pushed west over Mexico over the weekend and into early next week.
This opens the door for a few H5 disturbances to pass north of the region. Guidance suggests the first disturbance to pass through the Southeast Saturday into Saturday night with another one sweeping through late Monday into Tuesday. While these disturbances are forecast to sweep north of the region, they are close enough to increase rain chances slightly over the weekend and will need to be monitored in case things trend south over the coming days.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
VFR conditions look remain through today and tonight, with LIFR conditions developing at VLD overnight. Some possible MVFR VSBYs look to develop at ECP towards the early morning hours; however, there is more uncertainty in these restrictions developing, and they could be removed in subsequent TAF updates. Overall, VFR conditions look to remain at all other terminals through the period, with clear skies developing overnight, and becoming scattered through mid day tomorrow. Winds look to remain calm or out of the southeast at around 5 knots or less through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nights with Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions possible for waters east of Apalachicola. Otherwise, favorable marine conditions are expected into Memorial Day weekend as winds turn more southerly to southwesterly Thursday and beyond. Seas will generally run less than 3 feet through the weekend. No rain or thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
With high pressure aloft, there will be no fire weather concerns over the next several days. This is in combination of the well above average rainfall a majority of the region has experienced the last month. Transport winds will remain out of the southeast at around 5- 10 mph, while mixing heights reach near 5000 ft. This will lead to non-concerning dispersion values across the area. Minimum RH values will generally remain in the low to mid 40s across the area.
Overall, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 321 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Heavy rainfall from the weekend is still working through the river system. The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville has dropped below minor flood stage after cresting just over 16.5 feet. Downstream at Concord, the Ochlockonee is now forecast to reach Moderate Flood Stage later tonight as water from Thomasville works down the river.
The river will slowly crest through the middle of the week with decreases below flood by late this week.
Rises on the lower Withlacoochee below Valdosta continue with it cresting at Quitman on Wednesday or Thursday and Pinetta over the weekend. Further downstream into the upper Suwanee basin, slow rises into action stage and near minor flood stage are likely by later this week and into next week as water moves downstream.
The Choctawhatchee River at Bruce is forecast to crest in Minor Flood Wednesday afternoon before slowly dropping into Action Stage later this week. Otherwise, the rest of the rivers in the Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama have dropped below flood stage and will continue to drop the rest of the week.
No significant rain is expected in the next 5 to 7 days so expect additional decreases on rivers once water moves its way through the system this week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 68 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 65 88 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 67 90 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 66 91 68 91 / 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 71 83 72 84 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM CDT this evening for FLZ108- 112.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 3 mi | 46 min | SSW 6G | 83°F | ||||
| PCBF1 | 15 mi | 46 min | SW 6G | 79°F | 81°F | 29.95 | ||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 44 mi | 46 min | S 7G | 79°F | 79°F | 29.95 | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 46 mi | 46 min | SSE 5.1 | 81°F | 29.98 | 67°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 5 sm | 50 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 81°F | 68°F | 66% | 29.94 | |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 19 sm | 52 min | SSE 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 84°F | 70°F | 62% | 29.93 |
Parker
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:52 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:02 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:53 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:52 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:02 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:53 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.6 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| -0 |
Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:51 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:03 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:51 AM CDT 1.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:03 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM CDT -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.6 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| -0 |
Northwest Florida,
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