Sunrise 6:37 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 5:59 PM   Moonset 4:14 AM

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GMZ755 Expires:202405220315;;602594 Fzus52 Ktae 211412 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 1012 am edt Tue may 21 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-220315- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 1012 am edt Tue may 21 2024 /912 am cdt Tue may 21 2024/
.brief exercise caution conditions will be possible during overnight and early morning hours the next several days - .
Rest of today - East winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots this afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Protected waters a light chop.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1012 Am Edt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis -
light easterly flow regime expected through late Wednesday before winds become light and southerly by the end of the upcoming week. Winds will be 10 knots of less except for occasional nocturnal easterly surges in the wind tonight and again on Wednesday night that are expected to reach small craft exercise caution levels at times. Seas will be around 2 feet through the week, possibly decreasing by the late week period as light winds move in. No rain or Thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.

FXUS62 KTAE 211408 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1008 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 1006 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Only small changes were made to the PoP grids for this afternoon, as there is a slight signal that some isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop along a surging Atlantic Seabreeze.
Outside of these slight PoP increases along the SE Big Bend and I-75 corridor, there were no other changes made today.



NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

High pressure centered northeast of the area will maintain light easterly winds across the region today with winds along the coast turning onshore with a sea breeze passage later this afternoon.
There is a small chance of a stray shower across the southeast big bend, but PoPs are less than 20 percent. Highs will generally be in the 80s with lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Quiet and warm conditions are expected through the middle of the week with upper level ridging in solid control of the sensible weather. The only notable change in the weather over this period will be surface high pressure shifting into the Atlantic with light easterly flow becoming southerly through the period. No rain is expected with high temperatures climbing into the low 90s.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Largely more of the same can be expected in the long term period beginning at the end of the week, but the upper level ridge will begin to break down as several systems pass by from west to east well north of us over the weekend. With southerly flow all week, its possible enough moisture will be in place to help us see a few isolated showers and possibly a thunderstorm over the weekend but any coverage will be very isolated and POPs remain at 25% or less with the highest coverages across inland areas. With no rain temperatures will remain warm and it's possible some spots hit the mid 90s over the weekend or early next week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Some brief patchy fog is possible early this morning around ABY.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to prevail with easterly winds generally remaining less than 10 knots. Winds at ECP may briefing switch to southwest later this afternoon with the sea breeze. Some patchy fog could occur early Wednesday morning around VLD.

MARINE
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Light easterly flow regime expected through late Wednesday before winds become light and southerly by the end of the upcoming week.
Winds will be 10 knots of less except for occasional nocturnal easterly surges in the wind tonight and again on Wednesday night.
Seas will be around 2 feet through the week, possibly decreasing by the late week period as light winds move in. No rain or thunderstorms expected through at least the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

The 20 foot winds will remain on the light side with relative humidity values remaining above critical levels for the next few days. Given recent rainfall, there are no major fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 206 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Heavy rainfall from the weekend still is working through the river system. Ochlockonee River at Thomasville has crested and further downstream into Florida the river will crest through the middle of this week with decreases below flood by late this week. Rises on the lower Withlacoochee below Valdosta likely with it cresting at Quitman on Wednesday or Thursday. Further downstream into the upper Suwanee basin slow rises into action stage and near minor flood stage are likely by later this week and into next week as water moves downstream.

Further west across the Panhandle most have rivers have crested or will only see non-significant rises into action stage through the next few days.

No significant rain is expected in the next 7 to 10 days so expect additional decreases on rivers once water moves its way through the system this week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 88 68 90 69 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 85 69 86 70 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 86 66 88 68 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 86 65 88 68 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 86 66 90 68 / 20 0 0 0 Cross City 87 67 91 67 / 20 10 0 0 Apalachicola 82 71 82 72 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ108-112.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Carrabelle
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Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:16 AM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:14 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida, Tide feet

Turkey Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:18 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:24 AM EDT     1.81 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:58 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:10 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida, Tide feet

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