Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Arthur, TX
May 17, 2024 10:13 PM CDT (03:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:19 AM Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 1:59 PM Moonset 2:06 AM |
GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 943 Pm Cdt Fri May 17 2024
Rest of tonight - East winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sunday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth.
Sunday night - South winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Monday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Tuesday - South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 943 Pm Cdt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis - Widespread showers and Thunderstorms will continue into tonight as a low pressure system moves across the area - .winds and seas could be significantly stronger in the vicinity of storms. Lower winds will result in seas gradually falling through the weekend. No precip is expected by late Saturday afternoon through next week as light onshore flow prevails as high pressure moves east of the region.
Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
  HIDE  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KLCH 180241 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 941 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 933 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The main concern for the remainder of the evening into the overnight is how much of the activity over the Gulf can work its way into southern Louisiana and how intense will it be.
The 18/00z upper air sounding had a rather stable and capped layer between 85H-70H. This would tend to weaken and keep activity elevated and this has been the trend this evening.
However, there does seem to be an instability axis that is located over the coastal waters about 20 nm offshore the southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana coast. It does seem to push northeastward from there and into portions of lower Acadiana. Therefore, there is a better chance to see strong storms into the overnight for locations roughly east and southeast of a Pecan Island to New Iberia line. With favorable 0-6km shear and lapse rates, to go along with enough low level instability, and there is a chance for the storms that move into the area to produce hail and gusty winds. SPC is monitoring that area, and locations off to the east of the forecast area, for a potential severe thunderstorm watch.
Made some minor adjustments to the grids based on latest radar trends and hi-res guidance.
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The latest radar and satellite imagery reveal partly to mostly cloudy skies and light showers streaming in from the southeast this afternoon. This activity will likely continue into the evening hours, but should remain below severe limits. An approaching shortwave, in combination with high moisture content and instability, will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms late tonight into early Saturday morning for areas along and south of I-10 and the Gulf waters. The latest suite of high res guidance indicates that the onset of any convective development is likely to be after 2-3AM for areas along and south of a Lake Charles to Lafayette line, and is expected to move east to southeast into early Saturday morning. Forecast model soundings support the potential for damaging wind gusts and large hail with any severe thunderstorms.
In addition to the potential for severe weather, locally heavy rain may also bring a threat for flash flooding for areas along and south of a Lake Charles to Lafayette line. HRRR guidance indicates additional amounts of 1-2 inches will be possible through early Saturday. With the highest rainfall amounts expected to fall further south of the Flood Watch configuration, the Flood Watch has been cancelled for this evening. While there still may be minor issues with recent rainfall, expect fairly light rainfall amounts through this evening.
Otherwise, the combination of light winds and high moisture content may result in the development of patchy fog tonight.
Expect cloudy skies with low temperatures in the 60s region wide tonight. Ridging is expected to build over the region heading into the weekend, which will bring an end to the unsettled weather pattern. Highs will be in the upper 80s and low 90s with low temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The work week will feature above normal temperatures with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s as high pressure and ridging prevail.
In combination with the humidity, afternoon heat index values will rise into the mid to upper 90s each afternoon. Unsettled weather may return toward the end of the week as an upper level disturbance approaches, but most precipitation chances are expected to remain further north.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Rather stable conditions at the moment across the forecast area with mainly VFR ceilings and just some occasional light rain. The question for tonight is the development of any convective activity and if it will organize into a MCS. For now, it looks like any organized activity will develop late tonight and southeast of Lafayette to Cameron line. Therefore, only KLFT and KARA will have the mention of storms between 1808z/1812z.
Otherwise, remainder of the terminals will see a redevelopment of low clouds and patchy fog with MVFR to IFR conditions.
On Saturday, more stable conditions will filter with drier air that will allow for VFR conditions after 18/15z.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop across the coastal waters late tonight into early Saturday morning. Winds and seas could be significantly stronger in the vicinity of any thunderstorms. Light to moderate winds will result in gradually falling seas late this weekend into next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 64 87 67 89 / 30 10 0 0 LCH 68 87 70 89 / 40 10 0 0 LFT 70 88 71 91 / 60 10 0 0 BPT 68 89 70 91 / 40 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 941 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 933 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The main concern for the remainder of the evening into the overnight is how much of the activity over the Gulf can work its way into southern Louisiana and how intense will it be.
The 18/00z upper air sounding had a rather stable and capped layer between 85H-70H. This would tend to weaken and keep activity elevated and this has been the trend this evening.
However, there does seem to be an instability axis that is located over the coastal waters about 20 nm offshore the southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana coast. It does seem to push northeastward from there and into portions of lower Acadiana. Therefore, there is a better chance to see strong storms into the overnight for locations roughly east and southeast of a Pecan Island to New Iberia line. With favorable 0-6km shear and lapse rates, to go along with enough low level instability, and there is a chance for the storms that move into the area to produce hail and gusty winds. SPC is monitoring that area, and locations off to the east of the forecast area, for a potential severe thunderstorm watch.
Made some minor adjustments to the grids based on latest radar trends and hi-res guidance.
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The latest radar and satellite imagery reveal partly to mostly cloudy skies and light showers streaming in from the southeast this afternoon. This activity will likely continue into the evening hours, but should remain below severe limits. An approaching shortwave, in combination with high moisture content and instability, will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms late tonight into early Saturday morning for areas along and south of I-10 and the Gulf waters. The latest suite of high res guidance indicates that the onset of any convective development is likely to be after 2-3AM for areas along and south of a Lake Charles to Lafayette line, and is expected to move east to southeast into early Saturday morning. Forecast model soundings support the potential for damaging wind gusts and large hail with any severe thunderstorms.
In addition to the potential for severe weather, locally heavy rain may also bring a threat for flash flooding for areas along and south of a Lake Charles to Lafayette line. HRRR guidance indicates additional amounts of 1-2 inches will be possible through early Saturday. With the highest rainfall amounts expected to fall further south of the Flood Watch configuration, the Flood Watch has been cancelled for this evening. While there still may be minor issues with recent rainfall, expect fairly light rainfall amounts through this evening.
Otherwise, the combination of light winds and high moisture content may result in the development of patchy fog tonight.
Expect cloudy skies with low temperatures in the 60s region wide tonight. Ridging is expected to build over the region heading into the weekend, which will bring an end to the unsettled weather pattern. Highs will be in the upper 80s and low 90s with low temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
The work week will feature above normal temperatures with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s as high pressure and ridging prevail.
In combination with the humidity, afternoon heat index values will rise into the mid to upper 90s each afternoon. Unsettled weather may return toward the end of the week as an upper level disturbance approaches, but most precipitation chances are expected to remain further north.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Rather stable conditions at the moment across the forecast area with mainly VFR ceilings and just some occasional light rain. The question for tonight is the development of any convective activity and if it will organize into a MCS. For now, it looks like any organized activity will develop late tonight and southeast of Lafayette to Cameron line. Therefore, only KLFT and KARA will have the mention of storms between 1808z/1812z.
Otherwise, remainder of the terminals will see a redevelopment of low clouds and patchy fog with MVFR to IFR conditions.
On Saturday, more stable conditions will filter with drier air that will allow for VFR conditions after 18/15z.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 351 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop across the coastal waters late tonight into early Saturday morning. Winds and seas could be significantly stronger in the vicinity of any thunderstorms. Light to moderate winds will result in gradually falling seas late this weekend into next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 64 87 67 89 / 30 10 0 0 LCH 68 87 70 89 / 40 10 0 0 LFT 70 88 71 91 / 60 10 0 0 BPT 68 89 70 91 / 40 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
TXPT2 | 6 mi | 55 min | ESE 14G | 76°F | 78°F | 29.72 | ||
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX | 7 mi | 55 min | E 6G | 74°F | 75°F | 29.73 | ||
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX | 9 mi | 73 min | 74°F | 29.77 | ||||
HIST2 | 29 mi | 55 min | NNE 2.9G | 73°F | 85°F | 29.78 | ||
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA | 30 mi | 55 min | SE 7G | 75°F | 78°F | 29.81 | ||
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 37 mi | 55 min | ENE 6G | 74°F | 80°F | 29.75 | ||
BKTL1 | 43 mi | 55 min | 80°F | |||||
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX | 46 mi | 43 min | E 16G | 78°F | 29.75 | |||
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA | 48 mi | 55 min | 72°F | 86°F | 29.85 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBPT JACK BROOKS RGNL,TX | 14 sm | 20 min | calm | 5 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain Mist | 72°F | 70°F | 94% | 29.76 |
KORG ORANGE COUNTY,TX | 21 sm | 18 min | calm | 4 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Mist | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.79 |
Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:28 AM CDT 1.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:06 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:21 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:36 AM CDT 0.59 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:27 PM CDT 1.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:42 PM CDT 0.65 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:28 AM CDT 1.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:06 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:21 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:36 AM CDT 0.59 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:27 PM CDT 1.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:42 PM CDT 0.65 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
1 |
2 am |
1 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
0.7 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
0.6 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
1 |
12 pm |
1.1 |
1 pm |
1.1 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
0.8 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
0.7 |
10 pm |
0.8 |
11 pm |
0.9 |
Sabine Pass (jetty)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:30 AM CDT 1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 12:05 PM CDT 2.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:36 PM CDT 1.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:02 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:30 AM CDT 1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 12:05 PM CDT 2.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 06:36 PM CDT 1.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:02 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sabine Pass (jetty), Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
1.9 |
1 am |
1.8 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
1.4 |
4 am |
1.2 |
5 am |
1.1 |
6 am |
1.1 |
7 am |
1.2 |
8 am |
1.4 |
9 am |
1.7 |
10 am |
1.9 |
11 am |
2.1 |
12 pm |
2.2 |
1 pm |
2.1 |
2 pm |
2 |
3 pm |
1.8 |
4 pm |
1.5 |
5 pm |
1.4 |
6 pm |
1.3 |
7 pm |
1.3 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.5 |
10 pm |
1.8 |
11 pm |
2 |
Lake Charles, LA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE