Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 2:10 PM   Moonset 2:16 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 809 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Sunday - West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 809 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis - Southwest to west winds will continue through the weekend ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, which will bring increasing rain chances to the waters starting Saturday and continuing through Sunday and even into early next week. Rain chances then diminish for the rest of the week as high pressure builds in. Overall, no headlines are expected, just higher winds and seas within storms.

FXUS62 KMLB 180211 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1011 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

A few lightning storms have developed along the sea breeze collision this evening and are currently making their way towards the coast, where they will drift offshore into late evening. Once this activity moves offshore, dry conditions are forecast through the overnight hours. The main threats with these storms are lightning strikes and heavy downpours.

Some patchy fog will be possible late tonight into early Saturday morning west of a line from Orlando to Lake George. However, models have backed off from any fog overnight, leading to lower confidence. Nonetheless, widespread dense fog is not expected.
Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid-70s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Some patchy fog/low stratus will be possible from around MCO westward, but models have backed off from showing this solution, so confidence is low. For now, have left out a mention of any MVFR or lower VIS/CIGs, but this will need to be monitored overnight. A few showers and lightning storms are moving offshore from the Brevard and Treasure Coasts this evening and are forecast to diminish by around 3Z. Then, VFR conditions prevailing. Light winds overnight become westerly around 8-10kts Saturday morning, before backing south-southeastward into the afternoon along the coast, as the sea breeze develops. Scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast along the coast, though VCTS will be possible as far inland as MCO/ISM after around 20Z.



MARINE
Issued at 310 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Currently-Saturday... Favorable boating conditions are forecast through Saturday as high pressure builds over the state of Florida.
Southeast winds at 8-14kts will veer offshore overnight. Winds will then back south-southeast into the afternoon Saturday at 10-15kts.
Seas are forecast to build to 1-2ft with up to 3ft offshore.
Isolated lighting storms are forecast into this evening which will have the potential to produce gusty winds and cloud to water lighting strikes. Scattered showers and lighting storms are forecast again Saturday afternoon with the potential to produce wind gusts up to 40mph and cloud to water lighting strikes.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 72 93 72 86 / 10 40 40 70 MCO 74 95 75 87 / 20 30 40 80 MLB 73 93 74 88 / 20 40 30 80 VRB 72 96 73 90 / 20 40 30 80 LEE 75 93 74 85 / 10 30 50 70 SFB 73 96 74 87 / 10 30 40 80 ORL 75 95 75 88 / 10 30 40 80 FPR 71 96 73 90 / 20 40 20 80

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Aripeka
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Fri -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:41 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:23 AM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:27 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:28 PM EDT     2.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida, Tide feet

Bayport
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Fri -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:54 AM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:57 AM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:40 PM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:02 PM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bayport, Florida, Tide feet

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