Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Melbourne, FL
May 21, 2024 4:49 PM EDT (20:49 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:27 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 5:39 PM Moonset 4:00 AM |
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 307 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the evening, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
FXUS62 KMLB 211950 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Key Messages...
-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms still possible over the interior through sunset.
-Temperatures increasing through mid to late week, with drier than normal conditions expected.
-Hotter and drier than normal conditions forecast to persist into the holiday weekend.
Currently-Tonight...Shower development has remained fairly limited along the east coast sea breeze, but the potential for isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will continue for inland areas through sunset as the east coast sea breeze moves westward. A few onshore moving showers may also be possible late tonight, mainly along the Treasure Coast. Otherwise, most areas look to remain dry into tonight, with skies mostly clear to partly cloudy, and lows falling into the upper 60s to low 70s. Despite a lighter onshore flow, model guidance not showing much in the way of fog development tonight, so have kept mention out of the forecast.
However, with lighter winds overnight still can't rule out some patchy ground fog in spots late tonight and toward daybreak Wednesday. Settling of smoke from any active or smoldering brush fires may also cause visibility concerns along area roadways, especially near large "Sandy Drain" wildfire, that is currently 95% contained, in southern Volusia County near Farmton.
Wednesday...Ridge aloft builds in from the west and drier airmass building in from the east will help suppress any convective development with the sea breeze into tomorrow. Only low end rain chances, around 20 percent, exist across Okeechobee County and the southern Treasure Coast for the potential for a stray shower or storm into the afternoon. Temperatures continue to climb into mid week, with highs tomorrow ranging from the mid to upper 80s along the coast to upper 80s and low 90s over the interior.
Thursday-Monday...(Modified Previous Discussion) Anomalous ridging aloft holds steady on Thursday as 500mb heights reach the 90th climatological percentile. Mid level ridging continues to remain in place through the weekend, flattening some as a shortwave moves across the eastern CONUS. At the surface, high pressure extending offshore the Atlantic seaboard is nudged seaward. In response, onshore flow veers south into Friday, increasing moisture and precip chances slightly into the weekend.
However, forecast has been trending drier with PoPs 20-30 percent on Saturday, around 20 percent on Sunday, and then only 20 percent across the interior on Monday.
Temperatures remain on an upward trend through late week into early next week, reaching the mid 90s across much of the interior by Friday. Further warming could even support widespread mid to upper 90s by Sunday and Monday. Moisture return late week will further support humid and muggy conditions, and maximum heat index values reach 100-105 on Saturday into early next week.
MARINE
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight...Isolated showers and storms still possible over the coastal waters into tonight. Winds will be out of the east to northeast around 7-12 knots, with seas 3-5 feet this evening falling to 2-4 feet overnight.
Wednesday-Saturday...(Previous Discussion) Seas of 2-3 ft are forecast through late week, promoting favorable boating conditions. Onshore winds around 5-10 kts veer south into Friday.
Mostly dry with the best chance for a shower or storm limited to the Treasure Coast waters. Isolated to scattered showers then return across all waters on Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Mid to Late Week...(Previous Discussion) Building high pressure will promote sensitive fire conditions across the interior Thursday into late week. Minimum relative humidity values fall near critical thresholds across the northwest interior Thursday, ranging 35-40 percent. Values are then forecast to remain in the low to mid 40s across interior counties through at least late week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 125 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
VFR conditions prevailing. A few showers have developed along the inland-moving east coast sea breeze early this afternoon. Low confidence in an increase in coverage or any lightning, so have maintained a VCSH mention for terminals from MCO/ISM/TIX northward. Otherwise, dry conditions are forecast. Any convective activity will diminish into this evening. Easterly flow through the period will increase to around 10-15kts behind the sea breeze, with lighter winds overnight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 70 85 70 88 / 10 0 0 0 MCO 71 90 70 93 / 10 10 0 10 MLB 73 85 72 87 / 10 10 0 10 VRB 71 88 70 88 / 20 10 0 10 LEE 71 90 72 93 / 10 10 0 10 SFB 70 90 69 92 / 10 10 0 10 ORL 71 90 70 93 / 10 10 0 10 FPR 70 87 69 88 / 20 20 0 10
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Key Messages...
-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms still possible over the interior through sunset.
-Temperatures increasing through mid to late week, with drier than normal conditions expected.
-Hotter and drier than normal conditions forecast to persist into the holiday weekend.
Currently-Tonight...Shower development has remained fairly limited along the east coast sea breeze, but the potential for isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will continue for inland areas through sunset as the east coast sea breeze moves westward. A few onshore moving showers may also be possible late tonight, mainly along the Treasure Coast. Otherwise, most areas look to remain dry into tonight, with skies mostly clear to partly cloudy, and lows falling into the upper 60s to low 70s. Despite a lighter onshore flow, model guidance not showing much in the way of fog development tonight, so have kept mention out of the forecast.
However, with lighter winds overnight still can't rule out some patchy ground fog in spots late tonight and toward daybreak Wednesday. Settling of smoke from any active or smoldering brush fires may also cause visibility concerns along area roadways, especially near large "Sandy Drain" wildfire, that is currently 95% contained, in southern Volusia County near Farmton.
Wednesday...Ridge aloft builds in from the west and drier airmass building in from the east will help suppress any convective development with the sea breeze into tomorrow. Only low end rain chances, around 20 percent, exist across Okeechobee County and the southern Treasure Coast for the potential for a stray shower or storm into the afternoon. Temperatures continue to climb into mid week, with highs tomorrow ranging from the mid to upper 80s along the coast to upper 80s and low 90s over the interior.
Thursday-Monday...(Modified Previous Discussion) Anomalous ridging aloft holds steady on Thursday as 500mb heights reach the 90th climatological percentile. Mid level ridging continues to remain in place through the weekend, flattening some as a shortwave moves across the eastern CONUS. At the surface, high pressure extending offshore the Atlantic seaboard is nudged seaward. In response, onshore flow veers south into Friday, increasing moisture and precip chances slightly into the weekend.
However, forecast has been trending drier with PoPs 20-30 percent on Saturday, around 20 percent on Sunday, and then only 20 percent across the interior on Monday.
Temperatures remain on an upward trend through late week into early next week, reaching the mid 90s across much of the interior by Friday. Further warming could even support widespread mid to upper 90s by Sunday and Monday. Moisture return late week will further support humid and muggy conditions, and maximum heat index values reach 100-105 on Saturday into early next week.
MARINE
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight...Isolated showers and storms still possible over the coastal waters into tonight. Winds will be out of the east to northeast around 7-12 knots, with seas 3-5 feet this evening falling to 2-4 feet overnight.
Wednesday-Saturday...(Previous Discussion) Seas of 2-3 ft are forecast through late week, promoting favorable boating conditions. Onshore winds around 5-10 kts veer south into Friday.
Mostly dry with the best chance for a shower or storm limited to the Treasure Coast waters. Isolated to scattered showers then return across all waters on Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 350 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Mid to Late Week...(Previous Discussion) Building high pressure will promote sensitive fire conditions across the interior Thursday into late week. Minimum relative humidity values fall near critical thresholds across the northwest interior Thursday, ranging 35-40 percent. Values are then forecast to remain in the low to mid 40s across interior counties through at least late week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 125 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
VFR conditions prevailing. A few showers have developed along the inland-moving east coast sea breeze early this afternoon. Low confidence in an increase in coverage or any lightning, so have maintained a VCSH mention for terminals from MCO/ISM/TIX northward. Otherwise, dry conditions are forecast. Any convective activity will diminish into this evening. Easterly flow through the period will increase to around 10-15kts behind the sea breeze, with lighter winds overnight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 70 85 70 88 / 10 0 0 0 MCO 71 90 70 93 / 10 10 0 10 MLB 73 85 72 87 / 10 10 0 10 VRB 71 88 70 88 / 20 10 0 10 LEE 71 90 72 93 / 10 10 0 10 SFB 70 90 69 92 / 10 10 0 10 ORL 71 90 70 93 / 10 10 0 10 FPR 70 87 69 88 / 20 20 0 10
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 21 mi | 23 min | 81°F | 2 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 21 mi | 49 min | E 8.9G | 83°F | 84°F | 29.91 | ||
| 41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 36 mi | 29 min | NNE 7.8G | 78°F | 79°F | 3 ft | 29.93 | 71°F |
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 44 mi | 23 min | 78°F | 3 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL | 2 sm | 56 min | NE 13 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 70°F | 62% | 29.89 |
Canova Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:06 AM EDT 0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT 3.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:14 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:32 PM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:06 AM EDT 0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT 3.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:14 PM EDT -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:32 PM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.9 |
| 5 am |
| 2.6 |
| 6 am |
| 3.1 |
| 7 am |
| 3.3 |
| 8 am |
| 3 |
| 9 am |
| 2.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.8 |
Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:54 AM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT 3.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:02 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT 3.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:54 AM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT 3.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:02 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT 3.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 2.8 |
| 6 am |
| 3.2 |
| 7 am |
| 3.3 |
| 8 am |
| 3 |
| 9 am |
| 2.4 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.6 |
Melbourne, FL,
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