Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mount Sinai, NY
March 29, 2024 11:31 AM EDT (15:31 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:38 AM Sunset 7:15 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 8:28 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 909 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon - .
Today - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Slight chance of rain in the morning.
Sun night - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain.
Tue night - E winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely.
ANZ300 909 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure deepens over the atlantic today, and tracks into the canadian maritimes tonight. A series of weak waves of low pressure will track close to the area Saturday night into early next week. A deepening area of low pressure will then track across the lower great lakes region Tuesday into Tuesday night.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 291431 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1031 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will deepen over the Atlantic today, tracking well east of Cape Cod then into the Canadian Maritimes tonight. A weak frontal system will pass through the area late Saturday. A series of weak waves of low pressure will track close to the area into early next week. A deepening area of low pressure will then track across the Lower Great Lakes region Tuesday into Tuesday night, then slowly moves across the Northeast for the middle of next week. The associated frontal system will impact the area during this time.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast on track this morning. Low pressure continues deepening well east of Cape Cod. Back edge of thick overcast has made its way east of the Hudson River corridor and NYC metro. The clouds further east should begin diminishing late this morning into the afternoon as the low tracks away from the region.
Any light rain for extreme eastern areas should end by 15z.
Otherwise, NW flow will increase across the entire area thru the day with gusts 25-35 mph. A few gusts up to 40 mph are possible in the afternoon, especially if winds at the top of the mixed later are able to mix down more efficiently. Steep lapse rates and subsidence should combine to produce some high based flattening cu in the afternoon. This could serve to reduce the gust potential. Winds will remain gusty tonight.
Despite h85 temps around -4C, deep mixing produces high temps right around normal. Wind chills in the 20s most places tonight due to the winds and temps falling into the 30s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
A weak frontal system may impact the cwa late Sat and Sat night.
The models still do not have a great handle on it, with the NBM only producing pops around 20. The GFS remains the southern outlier when compared to the NAM and ECMWF. Probs may be a little too low in the NBM, especially because it is a light qpf event, but did not manually adjust for now with the GFS staying south.
It will continue to be windy on Sat, especially the first half of the day, then winds back to the W and weaken a bit. Still breezy though with a well mixed airmass.
Warmer temps aloft and deep mixing promotes highs above normal.
Highs near 60 possible NE NJ and NYC. There is also a chance LI and southern CT overperforms the guidance significantly based on the westerly flow. Did not stray from the NBM yet, but the numbers could be off by at least 5 degrees away from the immediate shore.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
No significant changes in the long term and stuck fairly close to the NBM/previous forecast.
A nearly zonal continues Monday and Monday night with another wave passing nearby the area.
An upper level cutoff low moving across the central portion of the country Monday will move into the Great Lakes region Monday night into Tuesday. This will be associated with a deepening surface low that sends a warm front toward the area Monday night into Tuesday, followed by a cold frontal passage on Wednesday. The surface low will pass north of the region, but will slow as it moves eastward, so expecting a rather extended period of precipitation through at least the middle part of next week. There are some timing and evolution differences, but overall good agreement in an unsettled period coming up. Drier weather build back into the region for the end of the week as the low departs.
The unsettled conditions and easterly flow for the first half of the week will result in cool, damp conditions with temperatures at or just below normal for highs, but slightly above normal for lows due to cloud cover.
AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Coastal low pressure tracks up the Atlantic coast today with high pressure building in from the west.
VFR. NW gusts 25-30kt for much of the day. Winds slowly diminish this evening.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Occasional gusts up to 35kt possible this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night. W wind gusts near 20 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into early evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Tuesday: Rain with MVFR or lower conditions. E wind gusts near 20 kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Gusty NW flow becoming W on Sat. A sca is in effect for all waters thru Sat as a result. The winds diminish Sat night and Sun, although seas will take longer to subside on the ocean.
Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels on Monday. The next chance for a SCA will be on Tuesday and Wednesday in a strengthening easterly flow.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts are currently expected through the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1031 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will deepen over the Atlantic today, tracking well east of Cape Cod then into the Canadian Maritimes tonight. A weak frontal system will pass through the area late Saturday. A series of weak waves of low pressure will track close to the area into early next week. A deepening area of low pressure will then track across the Lower Great Lakes region Tuesday into Tuesday night, then slowly moves across the Northeast for the middle of next week. The associated frontal system will impact the area during this time.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast on track this morning. Low pressure continues deepening well east of Cape Cod. Back edge of thick overcast has made its way east of the Hudson River corridor and NYC metro. The clouds further east should begin diminishing late this morning into the afternoon as the low tracks away from the region.
Any light rain for extreme eastern areas should end by 15z.
Otherwise, NW flow will increase across the entire area thru the day with gusts 25-35 mph. A few gusts up to 40 mph are possible in the afternoon, especially if winds at the top of the mixed later are able to mix down more efficiently. Steep lapse rates and subsidence should combine to produce some high based flattening cu in the afternoon. This could serve to reduce the gust potential. Winds will remain gusty tonight.
Despite h85 temps around -4C, deep mixing produces high temps right around normal. Wind chills in the 20s most places tonight due to the winds and temps falling into the 30s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
A weak frontal system may impact the cwa late Sat and Sat night.
The models still do not have a great handle on it, with the NBM only producing pops around 20. The GFS remains the southern outlier when compared to the NAM and ECMWF. Probs may be a little too low in the NBM, especially because it is a light qpf event, but did not manually adjust for now with the GFS staying south.
It will continue to be windy on Sat, especially the first half of the day, then winds back to the W and weaken a bit. Still breezy though with a well mixed airmass.
Warmer temps aloft and deep mixing promotes highs above normal.
Highs near 60 possible NE NJ and NYC. There is also a chance LI and southern CT overperforms the guidance significantly based on the westerly flow. Did not stray from the NBM yet, but the numbers could be off by at least 5 degrees away from the immediate shore.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
No significant changes in the long term and stuck fairly close to the NBM/previous forecast.
A nearly zonal continues Monday and Monday night with another wave passing nearby the area.
An upper level cutoff low moving across the central portion of the country Monday will move into the Great Lakes region Monday night into Tuesday. This will be associated with a deepening surface low that sends a warm front toward the area Monday night into Tuesday, followed by a cold frontal passage on Wednesday. The surface low will pass north of the region, but will slow as it moves eastward, so expecting a rather extended period of precipitation through at least the middle part of next week. There are some timing and evolution differences, but overall good agreement in an unsettled period coming up. Drier weather build back into the region for the end of the week as the low departs.
The unsettled conditions and easterly flow for the first half of the week will result in cool, damp conditions with temperatures at or just below normal for highs, but slightly above normal for lows due to cloud cover.
AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Coastal low pressure tracks up the Atlantic coast today with high pressure building in from the west.
VFR. NW gusts 25-30kt for much of the day. Winds slowly diminish this evening.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Occasional gusts up to 35kt possible this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night. W wind gusts near 20 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into early evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Tuesday: Rain with MVFR or lower conditions. E wind gusts near 20 kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Gusty NW flow becoming W on Sat. A sca is in effect for all waters thru Sat as a result. The winds diminish Sat night and Sun, although seas will take longer to subside on the ocean.
Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels on Monday. The next chance for a SCA will be on Tuesday and Wednesday in a strengthening easterly flow.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts are currently expected through the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 16 mi | 62 min | NNW 12G | 44°F | 44°F | 29.65 | ||
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 23 mi | 62 min | N 17G | 45°F | 43°F | 29.67 | ||
44022 - Execution Rocks | 37 mi | 47 min | NW 18 | 45°F | 29.71 | 27°F | ||
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 40 mi | 62 min | NNW 16G | 45°F | 44°F | 29.74 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KISP LONG ISLAND MAC ARTHUR,NY | 12 sm | 35 min | NW 18G30 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 46°F | 27°F | 46% | 29.68 | |
KHWV BROOKHAVEN,NY | 13 sm | 35 min | NNW 16G28 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 27°F | 43% | 29.68 | |
KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT | 14 sm | 39 min | NNW 19G32 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 25°F | 42% | 29.68 | |
KHVN TWEEDNEW HAVEN,CT | 21 sm | 38 min | N 16G26 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 25°F | 40% | 29.66 | |
KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY | 23 sm | 38 min | NW 18G26 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 46°F | 28°F | 49% | 29.66 |
Tide / Current for Cedar Beach, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cedar Beach, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
Tide / Current for Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
EDIT (hide/show)  HelpStony Brook
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT 6.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 08:46 AM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:48 PM EDT 5.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:15 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:51 PM EDT 0.75 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT 6.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 08:46 AM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:48 PM EDT 5.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:15 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:51 PM EDT 0.75 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
4.5 |
1 am |
5.7 |
2 am |
6.2 |
3 am |
6.1 |
4 am |
5.2 |
5 am |
3.9 |
6 am |
2.4 |
7 am |
1.2 |
8 am |
0.4 |
9 am |
0.2 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
1.9 |
12 pm |
3.3 |
1 pm |
4.6 |
2 pm |
5.4 |
3 pm |
5.6 |
4 pm |
5.1 |
5 pm |
4 |
6 pm |
2.8 |
7 pm |
1.7 |
8 pm |
1 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
1.2 |
11 pm |
2.2 |
Upton, NY,
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