Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 1:56 AM   Moonset 2:25 PM

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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 349 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Tonight - East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms until early morning. Sunday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Monday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Tuesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Tuesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Wednesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Thursday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 349 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will remain north of the area through the weekend with occasionally gusty easterly winds and elevated seas especially during the evening into overnight easterly surges with exercise caution headlines. High pressure weakens next week with winds and seas subsiding and the afternoon seabreeze returning.

FXUS62 KTBW 011752 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 152 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

We are seeing some breezier easterly today as high pressure in the Mid Atlantic states nudges a little farther south increasing our pressure gradient. This has helped to increase our easterly winds which has resulted in slightly cooler air compared to our work week.
However, the high pressure is also giving us more subsidence which in turn will keep showers very limited across the area.

As we go through our Sunday the high start to push into the Atlantic on the surface while a weak upper level trough looks to push over the area. This will cause our moisture to increase and give us more lift which in turn will increase our afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorms chances. Right now it looks like Sunday might be our best chance of rain in the next 7 days.

The upper level energy will exit the area by Monday however with the high pressure in the Atlantic moving even farther way we will see an increase in moisture and a more typical seabreeze pattern setting up. However coverage of storms do look a little less they what we are use to seeing during the summer months with PoPs hovering around 30 to 40 percent each day.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period with mainly easterly winds that will gust up to 15 to 20 knots this afternoon.
Conditions will be drier today so kept thunderstorms out of the TAFs however a shower or two can not be ruled out in Southwest Florida Terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Strong ridging over the area will once again cause nightly increase in winds tonight with 15 to 20 knots possible across the Gulf. We will see those winds decrease once again in the afternoon tomorrow but continue out of the east. Ridging will move farther way for our work week which will result in winds generally staying at or below 10 knots out of the east.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Windy and dry conditions continue today, however we will see some increase in moisture and higher rain shower chances for Sunday and into early next week. RH will slowly rise and we should stay above critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 93 74 91 75 / 20 20 40 20 FMY 94 72 93 73 / 20 20 60 40 GIF 90 69 92 72 / 10 0 50 10 SRQ 93 71 91 73 / 20 20 40 30 BKV 92 68 91 67 / 10 10 40 20 SPG 91 77 90 77 / 20 20 40 30

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Carlos Point
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Sat -- 02:45 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:40 AM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:51 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:10 PM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Carlos Point, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
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Sat -- 01:42 AM EDT     -0.78 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 02:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:06 AM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:33 PM EDT     -1.10 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:18 PM EDT     0.69 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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